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AFL

Karl Amon

Hawthorn

+8.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -588 (1.17)
+8.8% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sat 18 Apr, 6:15AM
Model Probability
94.3%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+8.8%
Predicted Value
24.4 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Karl Amon (Hawthorn) Over 16.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, Karl Amon is the man to watch in the Hawthorn vs. Port Adelaide matchup. Amon's recent form is nothing short of impressive, with his last five home games showing an average of 21.6 disposals, well above the set line of 16.5. His consistency shines through with strong numbers across the board, from kicks to handballs to contested possessions. Amon's ability to find space and impact the game is evident in his 85.7% disposal efficiency and 470.8 metres gained on average in his last five home games. Facing Port Adelaide, a team he typically performs well against, Amon is poised to surpass the 16.5 disposals mark comfortably. With a solid hit rate and a track record of delivering, Amon is a reliable choice to snag the over in the disposals market.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 66.7% (4/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 16.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
11 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 17.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
11 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 18.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
11 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
11 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
11 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Karl Amon (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (4/6). The latest model pick for Karl Amon is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.8% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 18 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.