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AFL

Karl Amon

Hawthorn

+3.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 17.5 -714 (1.14)
+3.9% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Hawthorn Hawks
MCG, Melbourne
Mon 6 Apr, 5:15AM
Model Probability
91.6%
Implied Probability
87.7%
Model Edge
+3.9%
Predicted Value
24.4 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Karl Amon (Hawthorn) Over 17.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Karl Amon is set to shine at the MCG as the Hawks take on the Cats. Amon's recent form at home has been nothing short of stellar, averaging 21.2 disposals per game, well above the line of 17.5. His ability to find space and pick out teammates with precision is unmatched, boasting an impressive 79.0% disposal efficiency. Against the Cats, he elevates his game even further, averaging 22.5 disposals in their recent matchups. With his knack for intercepts and metres gained, Amon is a key playmaker for Hawthorn. His consistent performance, coupled with a strong hit rate at home, makes the Over 17.5 disposals a smart bet. Expect Amon to rack up the possessions, drive the Hawks forward, and snag a few goals to boot.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (12 picks) 58.3% (7/12)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Apr 26 Geelong Cats @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 17.5 Over -714 ✗ MISS
06 Apr 26 Geelong Cats @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 18.5 Over -455 ✗ MISS
06 Apr 26 Geelong Cats @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 19.5 Over -323 ✗ MISS
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Karl Amon (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 12 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 58.3% (7/12). The latest model pick for Karl Amon is Over 17.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.9% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks on Monday 6 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.