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The latest Bet Better model pick for Karl Amon is Over 20.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 69%, for a model edge of +5.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:03PM UTC
AFL

Karl Amon

Hawthorn

+5.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 20.5 -227 (1.44)
+5.8% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 11 Jul, 9:35AM
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Model Probability
75.2%
Implied Probability
69.4%
Model Edge
+5.8%
Predicted Value
23.9 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals75.2%69.4%1.33+5.8%

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AI Analysis

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Karl Amon (Hawthorn) Over 20.5 Disposals (-227)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to consistent midfield performers, Karl Amon of the Hawthorn Hawks stands out as a reliable asset. Amon's recent away form has been nothing short of stellar, averaging an impressive 27.4 disposals per game over his last five matches on the road. His ability to find space and rack up possessions, including a solid average of 19.6 kicks and 7.8 handballs in away games, demonstrates his influence in driving the Hawks' midfield. Moreover, facing Carlton, Amon has historically elevated his game, boasting an average of 21.5 disposals in their recent matchups. With a current hit streak of six on the road and an overall hit streak of four, Amon is primed to surpass the 20.5 disposals line set by sportsbet. Backing Amon to continue his dominance in this clash is a savvy move for punters looking to capitalize on his exceptional form.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
21.8avg disposals recent
Season best31
Disposals last 10avg 21.8 · hi 30 · lo 14
20212221302126142221

Karl Amon has a disposals high of 31 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Jul 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Carlton Blues Disposals 20.5 Over -227 ✗ MISS
11 Jul 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Carlton Blues Disposals 19.5 Over -333 ✗ MISS
11 Jul 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Carlton Blues Disposals 18.5 Over -500 ✗ MISS
11 Jul 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Carlton Blues Disposals Pending
18 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
18 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Karl Amon (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Karl Amon is Over 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.8% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Carlton Blues on Saturday 11 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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