On September 19, 2026 our model has run Brisbane Lions at Hawthorn Hawks and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Conor McKenna Over 0.5 Goals (-118), which we rate strong confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions: Conor McKenna Over 0.5 Goals (-118)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

At the MCG, Conor McKenna has been showing some impressive skills lately. His ability to create goal assists is much higher than usual, and his goal accuracy is fantastic right now. With the way he's been playing, it seems very likely he'll score at least one goal against the Hawthorn Hawks. The biggest risk is that the match could be tightly contested, making scoring a bit tougher. Still, given McKenna's current form and the numbers supporting him, betting on him to score over 0.5 goals feels like a smart choice.

Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions: Josh Ward Over 20.5 Disposals (-119)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds for Josh Ward to have over 20.5 disposals are pretty appealing. Our numbers suggest he has a good chance of reaching that mark in this game against the Brisbane Lions. He's been scoring significantly more than usual lately, with an average of 2.5 score launches and getting more groundball gets than most players, which shows he's really active on the field. The biggest risk is that the two teams are closely matched, so things could get tight. However, with Ward's recent performances showing an increase in his stats, he seems ready to shine at the MCG. If he keeps up this level of play, he should hit that target.

Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions: Lloyd Meek Over 10.5 Disposals (-120)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds of -120 for Lloyd Meek to have over 10.5 disposals look promising. Our numbers show he has been really accurate lately, hitting the targets half the time, which is much better than average. Plus, when his team is ahead, he seems to rack up more disposals than usual. The game against the Brisbane Lions is expected to be close, which means both teams will be pushing hard. That said, the biggest risk is that if the Lions get ahead early, it might limit Meek's opportunities. Overall, though, our numbers give him a good shot at hitting that over.

That is the whole read on this one. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article