Here are our AFL picks for Friday 18 September 2026. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Lewis Melican (Sydney Swans) Over 9.5 Disposals, priced at -118 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Lewis Melican (Sydney Swans) Over 9.5 Disposals (-118)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Sydney Swans play Fremantle Dockers in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Lewis Melican (Sydney Swans) Over 9.5 Disposals. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Lewis Melican (Sydney Swans) Over 9.5 Disposals (-118)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Sydney Swans play Fremantle Dockers in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Lewis Melican (Sydney Swans) Over 9.5 Disposals. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Brodie Grundy (Sydney Swans) Over 16.5 Disposals (-120)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Sydney Swans play Fremantle Dockers in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Brodie Grundy (Sydney Swans) Over 16.5 Disposals. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's AFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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