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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Daicos is Over 22.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 52%, implied 54%, edge +17.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 5, 5:52AM UTC
AFL

Josh Daicos

Collingwood

+17.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 22.5 -119 (1.84) · $100→$184
+17.7% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 6:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
25.4 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.0% · the book's price implies 54.3% · gap +17.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.0%51.7%54.3%1.93+17.7%

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AI Analysis

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Josh Daicos (Collingwood) Over 22.5 Disposals (-119)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to hit the Over on disposals, Josh Daicos is the man to watch. Daicos has been a midfield maestro for the Collingwood Magpies, averaging a solid 21.6 disposals in his last five away games. His ability to find space and move the ball efficiently, with a handball average of 9.4 and a kicks average of 12.2, sets him apart. In his recent clashes against the West Coast Eagles, Daicos has stepped up even further, averaging 25 disposals per game. With an impressive overall disposals average of 25.8, Daicos is in red-hot form. His consistency is evident with a hit rate of 7 out of his last 8 games. Considering his recent performances and the matchup dynamics, backing Daicos to surpass 22.5 disposals against the Eagles looks like a smart play. Expect Daicos to run the show in the midfield and snag those crucial possessions to help his team secure the win.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)

Season averages (2024)

Josh Daicos averaged 24.9 disposals, 0.3 goals and 5.2 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

24.9
Disposals
0.3
Goals
5.2
Marks
3.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Melbourne), Josh Daicos recorded 40 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Melbourne400101
17 Aug 24Brisbane Lions26090
9 Aug 24Sydney Swans26063
3 Aug 24Carlton20032
28 Jul 24Richmond32062
20 Jul 24Hawthorn22024
12 Jul 24Geelong Cats23066
5 Jul 24Essendon20030
29 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS20156
16 Jun 24North Melbourne20023
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 22.5 Over -119 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 21.5 Over -179 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 20.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals Pending
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals Pending
30 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Josh Daicos (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Daicos is Over 22.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.7% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 9 August at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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