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AFL

Josh Daicos

Collingwood

+18.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 26.5 -115 (1.87)
+18.0% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne
Thu 16 Apr, 9:30AM
Model Probability
71.5%
Implied Probability
53.5%
Model Edge
+18.0%
Predicted Value
23.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Josh Daicos (Collingwood) Under 26.5 Disposals (-115)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Thursday night footy at the MCG, Josh Daicos of the Collingwood Magpies is shaping up for a showdown against the Carlton Blues. Recent form suggests Daicos has been a solid contributor, but the numbers hint at a potential underplay on his disposals line of 26.5. Over his last five away games, he's been hovering around 24.8 disposals, just shy of that line. With an average of 16.4 kicks and 8.4 handballs in those games, he might struggle to hit the mark against a competitive Carlton side. Daicos' current hit streak is lukewarm at best, and his overall disposals average of 29 is slightly skewed by standout performances. Considering the trends and matchup dynamics, the under on Daicos feels like a savvy play for punters looking to snag a win on this intriguing AFL clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 42.9% (3/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Apr 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Disposals 26.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
27 Mar 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 26.5 Under -109 ✗ MISS
08 Mar 26 Collingwood Magpies @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 25.5 Under -112 ✗ MISS
04 Sep 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Disposals — — — Pending
09 Jun 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Melbourne Demons Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Josh Daicos (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 42.9% (3/7). The latest model pick for Josh Daicos is Under 26.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.0% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues on Thursday 16 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.