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AFL

Josh Daicos

Collingwood

Value call

Josh Daicos (Collingwood) has one live pick today: over 22.5 disposals that pays $184 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
25.4 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.7% · before adjusting for past results 72.0% · the book's price implies 54.3% · gap -2.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 4:10 PM AEST
Josh Daicos
over 22.5 disposals
Disposals Over 22.5 -119 (1.84) · $100→$184
Value call
LEANWins about 52 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.40 Odds-119
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Daicos is Over 22.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 52%, the price says 54%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 16, 7:58PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.0%51.7%54.3%1.93+17.7%

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AI Analysis

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Josh Daicos (Collingwood) Over 22.5 Disposals (-119)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player in the disposals market, Josh Daicos is the man to watch in the upcoming clash between Collingwood and West Coast. Daicos has been a consistent ball magnet, averaging 21.6 disposals over his last five away games. Not only does he find plenty of the footy, but his disposal efficiency of 78.8% ensures he makes those possessions count. Against West Coast specifically, he's been even more prolific, averaging 25 disposals in their recent encounters. With Daicos boasting an overall average of 25.8 disposals, hitting the Over 22.5 line seems like a safe bet. Plus, with a solid hit rate of 12/17 in away games, Daicos is primed to shine on the field and deliver for punters.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)

Season averages (2024)

Josh Daicos averaged 24.9 disposals, 0.3 goals and 5.2 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

24.9
Disposals
0.3
Goals
5.2
Marks
3.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Melbourne), Josh Daicos recorded 40 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Melbourne400101
17 Aug 24Brisbane Lions26090
9 Aug 24Sydney Swans26063
3 Aug 24Carlton20032
28 Jul 24Richmond32062
20 Jul 24Hawthorn22024
12 Jul 24Geelong Cats23066
5 Jul 24Essendon20030
29 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS20156
16 Jun 24North Melbourne20023
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 22.5 Over -119 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 21.5 Over -179 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 20.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals — — — Pending
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals — — — Pending
30 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Josh Daicos (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Daicos is Over 22.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.7% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 9 August at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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