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AFL

Josh Daicos

Collingwood

+19.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 26.5 -109 (1.92)
+19.4% Edge
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Collingwood Magpies
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Fri 27 Mar, 8:40AM
Model Probability
71.5%
Implied Probability
52.1%
Model Edge
+19.4%
Predicted Value
23.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Josh Daicos (Collingwood) Under 26.5 Disposals (-109)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Folks, let's talk a bit of footy strategy for the upcoming clash between the Collingwood Magpies and the GWS Giants. We've got our eyes on Josh Daicos for the 'Under 26.5 Disposals' play. Why, you ask? Well, let's dive into the numbers. Daicos, a home turf hero, has been solid lately with an average of 25.4 disposals in his last five home games. Against GWS specifically, he's averaged 21.5 disposals. His recent form shows a touch below the line, with a total average of 26.6 disposals. Plus, he's coming off a streak of 0 hits in both home and overall games. With his numbers hovering close to the line and facing a team he doesn't historically dominate in disposals, the smart money is on Daicos going under 26.5 this time around. Let's see if he can snag the win without dominating the possession game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 33.3% (2/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Mar 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 26.5 Under -109 ✗ MISS
08 Mar 26 Collingwood Magpies @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 25.5 Under -112 ✗ MISS
04 Sep 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 19.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Disposals — — — Pending
09 Jun 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Melbourne Demons Disposals — — — Pending
17 May 25 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Josh Daicos (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 33.3% (2/6). The latest model pick for Josh Daicos is Under 26.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.4% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Collingwood Magpies on Friday 27 March at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.