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The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Daicos is Over 21.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 78%, versus the book's implied 78%, for a model edge of +0.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:04PM UTC
AFL

Josh Daicos

Collingwood

+0.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 21.5 -357 (1.28)
+0.2% Edge
Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul, 9:35AM
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Model Probability
78.4%
Implied Probability
78.1%
Model Edge
+0.2%
Predicted Value
25.4 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals78.4%—78.1%1.28+0.2%

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AI Analysis

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Josh Daicos (Collingwood) Over 21.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to dependable midfield performers, look no further than Josh Daicos of the Collingwood Magpies. Daicos has been a shining star in recent outings, boasting an impressive average of 28 disposals per game over his last five home matches. His ability to find space and impact the game is evident, with a stellar 81.4% disposal efficiency to boot. Facing off against the Carlton Blues, Daicos has historically maintained a strong average of 25.2 disposals in their previous encounters. With Daicos hitting a purple patch of form, his recent consistency speaks volumes. Having hit his over line in 8 out of his last 9 home games and currently riding a 6-game hit streak overall, the smart money is on Daicos to once again eclipse the 21.5 disposals mark. Expect him to lead the charge in the midfield battle and rack up the possessions at the hallowed MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
24.9avg disposals recent
Season best40
Disposals last 10avg 24.9 · hi 40 · lo 20
20202023223220262640

Josh Daicos has a disposals high of 40 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 21.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 20.5 Over -500 ✗ MISS
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 19.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
16 Apr 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Disposals — — — Pending
27 Mar 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Josh Daicos (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Daicos is Over 21.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies on Saturday 18 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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