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The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Lindsay is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 91%, versus the book's implied 88%, for a model edge of +3.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:43PM UTC
AFL

Josh Lindsay

West Coast Eagles

+3.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -714 (1.14) · $100→$114
+3.1% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 6:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
90.8%
Implied Probability
87.7%
Model Edge
+3.1%
Predicted Value
20.1 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals90.8%—87.7%1.10+3.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Josh Lindsay (West Coast Eagles) Over 13.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Josh Lindsay, the midfield maestro for the West Coast Eagles, is primed to dominate the disposal count against Collingwood at Optus Stadium. With an average of 18.2 disposals in his last five home games and a stellar 20 disposals on average against this very opponent, Lindsay is a proven ball magnet. His recent form is red hot, boasting a remarkable 83.4% disposal efficiency and a whopping 321.4 meters gained per game. Lindsay's consistency is undeniable, with a current hit streak of 5 at home and a flawless 12/12 hit rate overall. Expect him to orchestrate the Eagles' midfield, surpassing the 13.5 disposal line comfortably. Josh Lindsay is set to snag a big bag of possessions and lead your betting slip to victory.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 4(75%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
19.4avg disposals L5
Home18.2vs Collingwood20
O 17.570%
O 18.570%
O 19.540%
O 20.530%
O 21.520%
O 22.520%

Josh Lindsay has gone over 19.5 disposals in 4 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 19.4 disposals).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 13.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 14.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 15.5 Over -400 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Josh Lindsay (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Lindsay is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.1% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 9 August at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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