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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Lindsay is Over 11.5 on Kicks.
On Kicks, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 61%, implied 70%, edge +2.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 5:24PM UTC
AFL

Josh Lindsay

West Coast Eagles

+2.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Kicks Over 11.5 -238 (1.42) · $100→$142
+2.3% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug, 9:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
14.6 Kicks
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.7% · the book's price implies 70.4% · gap +2.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Kicks72.7%60.9%70.4%1.64+2.3%

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AI Analysis

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Josh Lindsay (West Coast Eagles) Over 11.5 player_kicks_over (-238)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Listen up footy punters, we've got a prime opportunity on our hands for the West Coast Eagles clash against the Hawthorn Hawks. The man to watch? None other than the local lad himself, Josh Lindsay. When it comes to racking up the kicks, Josh is no stranger. With a model-predicted average of 14.6 kicks per game and a solid hit rate, this guy knows how to make an impact on the field. Now, facing off against the Hawks on his home turf at Optus Stadium in Perth, Josh is in his element. The odds are in our favor, with a 2.3% edge suggesting a high probability of him surpassing the 11.5 kicks mark. So, if you're looking to snag a win in the 'Player Kicks Over' market, Josh Lindsay is your man. Back him to split the middle and deliver the goods for the Eagles.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Josh Lindsay - AFL Disposals market.

KicksSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Josh Lindsay - AFL Kicks market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 13.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 14.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ West Coast Eagles Kicks Pending
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Josh Lindsay (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Lindsay is Over 11.5 on Kicks. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.3% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 23 August at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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