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The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Lindsay is Over 17.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 54%, for a model edge of +17.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
AFL

Josh Lindsay

West Coast Eagles

+17.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 17.5 -119 (1.84)
+17.0% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 3 Jul, 10:10AM
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Model Probability
71.4%
Implied Probability
54.3%
Model Edge
+17.0%
Predicted Value
20.3 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.4%54.3%1.40+17.0%

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AI Analysis

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Josh Lindsay (West Coast Eagles) Over 17.5 Disposals (-119)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Josh Lindsay to go 'Over' 17.5 disposals against the Adelaide Crows at Optus Stadium, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Over his last five home games, Lindsay has been a midfield maestro, averaging a solid 18.2 disposals. His recent form is backed by an impressive 83.4% disposal efficiency and a knack for gaining crucial meters, averaging 321.4 per game. With his ability to find space and move the ball effectively, Lindsay's contribution to the Eagles' midfield is undeniable. Add in his current hit streak of 2 games at home and a strong overall hit rate of 4 out of the last 5 games, and it's clear that Lindsay is poised to surpass that 17.5 mark comfortably. Betting on Lindsay to hit his disposal target is a smart play given his recent performances and consistent output.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Josh Lindsay - AFL Disposals market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Jul 26 Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 17.5 Over -119 ✓ HIT
03 Jul 26 Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 16.5 Over -175 ✗ MISS
03 Jul 26 Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 15.5 Over -263 ✗ MISS
03 Jul 26 Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Josh Lindsay (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Lindsay is Over 17.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.0% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs West Coast Eagles on Friday 3 July at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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