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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Graham is Over 7.5 on Handballs.
On Handballs, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 70%, implied 63%, edge +7.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 25, 1:45PM UTC
AFL

Jack Graham

West Coast Eagles

+7.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Handballs Over 7.5 -172 (1.58) · $100→$158
+7.1% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug, 9:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
70 in 100
Predicted
9.5 Handballs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 70.3% · the book's price implies 63.3% · gap +7.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Handballs70.3%—63.3%1.42+7.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Jack Graham (West Coast Eagles) Over 7.5 player_handballs_over (-172)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, you want someone who's not just in the game but dominating it. Enter Jack Graham, the maestro of handballs. With a model predicting him to hit 9.5 handballs, comfortably exceeding the line at 7.5, the stars seem aligned for a handballing masterclass. Playing at his home turf in Optus Stadium against the Hawthorn Hawks, Jack's got that extra edge. His precision in distributing the ball is unmatched, making him a key playmaker for the West Coast Eagles. With an implied probability of 63.3% and a model edge of 7.1%, the numbers are shouting one thing - back Jack Graham to dish out those handballs like a pro. When it's crunch time, Jack's the man to rack up those crucial handballs and drive the Eagles to victory.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jack Graham averaged 17.4 disposals, 0.1 goals and 2.1 marks per game across 14 games in 2024.

17.4
Disposals
0.1
Goals
2.1
Marks
4.4
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Jack Graham has cleared 12.5 disposals in 90% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o12.590%
o13.570%
o15.560%
o16.560%
o18.530%
o19.520%
o21.520%
o23.510%
o24.510%
o26.50%
o27.50%
o29.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jack Graham is averaging 18.4 disposals per game over his last 5.

18.4
Disp · Overall
0.4
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Gold Coast SUNS), Jack Graham recorded 22 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS22133
18 Aug 24Hawthorn12142
11 Aug 24St Kilda19012
3 Aug 24North Melbourne24022
14 Jul 24GWS GIANTS21027
6 Jul 24Fremantle19044
30 Jun 24Carlton17024
15 Jun 24Hawthorn17036
6 Jun 24Adelaide Crows17005
1 Jun 24Geelong Cats18029
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 13.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 14.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ West Coast Eagles Handballs — — — Pending
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jack Graham (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Graham is Over 7.5 on Handballs. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.1% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 23 August at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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