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AFL

Michael Frederick

Fremantle

+4.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -256 (1.39)
+4.9% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth
Sat 6 Sep, 9:35AM
Model Probability
76.9%
Implied Probability
71.9%
Model Edge
+4.9%
Predicted Value
1.1 Goals

AI Analysis

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Michael Frederick (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-256)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Michael Frederick is a strong bet to score anytime based on his recent form and matchup. With an average of 1.2 goals in his last 5 home games and facing a Gold Coast Suns team he's scored against before, Frederick's 1.1 model prediction presents a solid opportunity. His above-average score involvements (4.6) and shots at goal (2.4) further support this bet. Despite a minor dip in goal accuracy (36.0%), his ability to create scoring opportunities with 3 inside 50s on average enhances his chances. With a historical average of 1.6 goals in his last 5 games overall, Frederick is well-positioned to snag a goal at home against the Suns.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 70.0% (35/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -256 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -256 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Fremantle Dockers Goals Pending
06 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Fremantle Dockers Goals Pending
06 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Fremantle Dockers Goals Pending

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