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AFL

Connor Rozee

Port Adelaide

+7.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 24.5 -294 (1.34)
+7.9% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sat 26 Jul, 10:10AM
Model Probability
82.5%
Implied Probability
74.6%
Model Edge
+7.9%
Predicted Value
29.2 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Connor Rozee (Port Adelaide) Over 24.5 Disposals (-294)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Connor Rozee presents a strong bet opportunity to go Over 24.5 disposals against Adelaide. With a model-predicted average of 29.2 disposals and a 7.9% edge, Rozee's recent form solidifies this pick. In his last five away games, he has averaged 28.4 disposals, showcasing consistency. His efficiency at 70.3% and ability to gain 652.2 meters on average bode well for surpassing the line. Facing Adelaide, where he has historically averaged 25.8 disposals, further supports his potential to outperform. Rozee's current hit streak of 5 away games and 5/5 hit rate demonstrate his reliability in meeting or exceeding this mark. Bet confidently on Rozee to continue his impressive form.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 66.7% (4/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 24.5 Over -294 ✗ MISS
13 Jul 25 West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 24.5 Over -357 ✗ MISS
05 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 24.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
26 Jun 25 Carlton Blues @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
15 Jun 25 Melbourne Demons @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
07 Jun 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Connor Rozee (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (4/6). The latest model pick for Connor Rozee is Over 24.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.9% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 26 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.