Here are our AFL picks for Thursday 10 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Luke Nankervis (Adelaide Crows) Over 10.5 Disposals, priced at -714 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Looking for AFL same-game multi tips this round? Here are the 2 multis our model likes most, built only from legs where our number beats the bookmaker's price.

Luke Nankervis (Adelaide Crows) Over 10.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Brisbane Lions play Adelaide Crows in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Luke Nankervis (Adelaide Crows) Over 10.5 Disposals. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jake Soligo (Adelaide Crows) Over 11.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Brisbane Lions play Adelaide Crows in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Jake Soligo (Adelaide Crows) Over 11.5 Disposals. It was priced at -769 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sam Berry (Adelaide Crows) Over 15.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Brisbane Lions play Adelaide Crows in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Sam Berry (Adelaide Crows) Over 15.5 Disposals. It was priced at -588 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 17.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Geelong Cats in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 17.5 Disposals. It was priced at -588 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 18.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Geelong Cats in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 18.5 Disposals. It was priced at -400 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 player_kicks_over (-588)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Geelong Cats in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 player_kicks_over. It was priced at -588 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's AFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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