Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs Prediction & Picks: Expert MLB Betting Guide

On July 25, the Pirates host the Cubs in what’s shaping up to be a classic pitcher's duel. Both teams have shown recent struggles at the plate—Chicago's lineup has been stymied, averaging just 3.5 runs over their last week of games. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh's offense isn't much better, hovering around 4 runs per game during that stretch. What makes this matchup particularly compelling is the starting pitchers. The Pirates' ace has been on fire lately, boasting a 2.85 ERA over his last five outings, while the Cubs’ pitcher has been equally effective, holding opponents to a mere .220 batting average. With both lineups facing such tough competition on the mound, it’s hard to envision the score creeping past that 8-run mark. Given the trends, it feels like the under is the smart play here, especially with the model suggesting a total closer to 6.5 runs.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs : Under 7.5 Total Runs (+100)

As the Pirates welcome the Cubs to PNC Park, all signs point to a battle of the pitchers, making the 'Under 7.5' total runs an enticing wager. The Cubs' offense has struggled lately, averaging just 3.1 runs over their last ten games, while the Pirates' pitching staff has quietly found its groove, boasting a solid 3.75 ERA at home. What’s more, both teams have leaned heavily on their starters, with the Pirates’ ace showing an impressive strikeout rate and the Cubs’ lineup fanning at an alarming rate against lefties. With the likes of strong relievers ready to step in, late-inning fireworks seem unlikely. Given these trends and the models predicting fewer than seven runs, it’s hard to envision this matchup breaking through the total. Buckle up for a low-scoring affair as both teams battle it out on the diamond.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs : Under 8.5 Total Runs (-141)

As the Pirates welcome the Cubs to PNC Park, the stage is set for a matchup that leans heavily towards a low-scoring affair. The Cubs have been struggling recently at the plate, averaging just over three runs per game in their last ten outings. With their lineup mired in inconsistency, it’s no wonder that they rank near the bottom in team batting average. On the mound, the Pirates are sending out a pitcher who has quietly been effective, allowing only a 3.40 ERA over his last five starts. Pair that with the Cubs' recent woes against left-handed pitching, and you can see the potential for a stifling game. Given the model's prediction of just 6.56 total runs, and the way these teams have trended, placing your chips on the Under 8.5 feels like a savvy play. Expect a tightly contested duel, rather than a slugfest.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs : Chicago Cubs Win (+113)

As the Cubs roll into Pittsburgh on July 25, they bring with them a surge of momentum that’s hard to ignore. The North Siders have been thriving lately, showcasing a potent offense that’s been racking up runs—ranking among the league leaders in both batting average and on-base percentage over the past few weeks. With their lineup getting hot at the right time, they’ve made opposing pitchers sweat, and the Pirates' staff has had some inconsistencies, especially in crucial late-game situations. Pitching-wise, the Cubs’ starter has displayed a knack for shutting down lineups, with a solid strikeout rate that’s stifled even the toughest hitters. While the Pirates have had their moments, they struggle to find consistency, particularly against teams with playoff aspirations like the Cubs. With Chicago’s recent form and their ability to capitalize on the Pirates’ weaknesses, the moneyline looks like a promising play in this matchup.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs : Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+182)

As the Cubs roll into Pittsburgh, they bring an impressive July form that's hard to ignore. This is a team that’s been raking, scoring an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last ten outings, with their lineup showing depth and consistency. Meanwhile, the Pirates are struggling to keep pace, allowing over 5 runs per game during that same stretch, which isn’t ideal against a potent Cubs offense. On the mound, the Cubs’ starter has been lights out lately, boasting a solid WHIP under 1.20. That’s a stark contrast to the Pirates’ pitcher, who has had difficulty finding the strike zone, leading to plenty of free passes and scoring opportunities for opponents. With the Cubs’ ability to capitalize on mistakes and the Pirates’ recent woes, taking Chicago at -1.5 on the run line feels like a savvy play. They’re primed to put some distance between themselves and the struggling Bucs.