San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs: Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 Batter - Stolen Bases (-357)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The odds for Pete Crow-Armstrong to steal a base are pretty low, and our numbers think this is a solid bet. The San Diego Padres are on a roll, winning 8 of their last 10 games and 7 of their last 8 at home. Meanwhile, Pete has only stolen bases in a few games lately, and the Padres' solid pitching will make it tougher for him to get that jump he needs.
While Pete plays well at home, he averages less than a steal per game, which suggests he isn't likely to run much. The Cubs have only won 5 of their last 10, and they're struggling overall. With both teams in different forms and the Padres playing strong at home, it feels like a good spot to take the under on Pete's stolen bases.