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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Pete Crow-Armstrong is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 94%, versus the book's implied 74%, for a model edge of +20.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 17, 8:03AM UTC
MLB

Pete Crow-Armstrong

MLB

+20.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -278 (1.36)
+20.2% Edge
Minnesota Twins @ Chicago Cubs
Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois · Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul, 12:05AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
93.7%
Implied Probability
73.5%
Model Edge
+20.2%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits93.7%73.5%1.07+20.2%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Pete Crow-Armstrong (NA) Under 1.5 Hits (-278)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Chicago Cubs host the Minnesota Twins, all eyes will be on Pete Crow-Armstrong, but betting on him to go over 1.5 hits might be a stretch. The young outfielder has shown flashes of brilliance, but consistency has eluded him, particularly against quality pitching. With the Twins rolling out a formidable starter who has excelled in limiting hard contact, it’s hard to envision Crow-Armstrong finding gaps. Moreover, the Cubs’ lineup has struggled against right-handed pitching lately, mustering only a .230 average over their last ten games. Combine this with Crow-Armstrong's recent slump, where he’s been striking out at an alarming rate, and the under on his hits starts to look enticing. With a model predicting just 0.36 hits, the under 1.5 seems like a prudent play. The trends suggest a challenging night for Crow-Armstrong at the plate, making the under a savvy call in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

1 market live
Batter - HitsUpcoming gameU 1.5 -278+20.2% edge

Pete Crow-Armstrong MLB hits. Current line U 1.5 at -278 (+20.2% model edge).

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.540%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 5.7 · hi 8 · lo 2
728

Pete Crow-Armstrong MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Pete Crow-Armstrong MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
3.4avg H+R+RBI · L5
L2075%

Pete Crow-Armstrong MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games; averaging 3.4 H+R+RBI over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.520%

Pete Crow-Armstrong MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.4avg singles · L5

Pete Crow-Armstrong MLB singles: averaging 0.4 singles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - DoublesSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
0.6avg doubles · L5

Pete Crow-Armstrong MLB doubles: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 0.6 doubles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Jul 26 Chicago Cubs @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -145 ✓ HIT
07 Jul 26 Chicago Cubs @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -130 ✗ MISS
03 Jul 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -217 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Francisco Giants Batter - Hits Pending
14 Jun 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Francisco Giants Batter - Total Bases Pending

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About This Player

Pete Crow-Armstrong is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Pete Crow-Armstrong is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.2% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs on Saturday 18 July at Wrigley Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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