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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Pete Crow-Armstrong is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On Batter - Stolen Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 78%, the price says 78%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 total baseslanded 8 of the last 10
Under 1.50 2Blanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 SBlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Oct 6, 3:27AM UTC
MLB

Pete Crow-Armstrong

CHC

Value call

Pete Crow-Armstrong has one live pick today: Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 that pays $128 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -357 (1.28) · $100→$128
Value call
Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Thu 1 Oct, 2:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 135 of 235 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Batter - Stolen Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 77.8% · before adjusting for past results 79.1% · the book's price implies 78.1% · gap -0.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases79.1%77.8%78.1%1.34+1.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games5/6

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AI Analysis

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San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs: Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 Batter - Stolen Bases (-357)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

The odds for Pete Crow-Armstrong to steal a base are pretty low, and our numbers think this is a solid bet. The San Diego Padres are on a roll, winning 8 of their last 10 games and 7 of their last 8 at home. Meanwhile, Pete has only stolen bases in a few games lately, and the Padres' solid pitching will make it tougher for him to get that jump he needs. While Pete plays well at home, he averages less than a steal per game, which suggests he isn't likely to run much. The Cubs have only won 5 of their last 10, and they're struggling overall. With both teams in different forms and the Padres playing strong at home, it feels like a good spot to take the under on Pete's stolen bases.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Pete Crow-Armstrong is averaging 1.4 hits, 0.4 home runs and 0.8 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.4
Hits
0.4
HR
0.8
RBI
1.2
Runs
0.2
Walks
1.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Pete Crow-Armstrong has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 70% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.570%
o1.560%
o2.550%
o3.530%
o4.520%

Home / away and opponent splits

Pete Crow-Armstrong is averaging 1.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.8 in away games, including his recent form against MIL.

1.4
Hits · Overall
1.8
Hits · Away
0.2
Hits · vs MIL
0.4
HR · Overall
0.6
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs MIL
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Oct 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres Batter - Stolen Bases 0.5 Under -357 ✓ HIT
30 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres Batter - Hits 0.5 Under +174 ✓ HIT
01 Oct 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres Batter - Singles — — — Pending
01 Oct 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres Batter - Singles — — — Pending
01 Oct 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
01 Oct 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Pete Crow-Armstrong is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.0% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres on Thursday 1 October at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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