Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
MLB

Matthew Boyd

CLE

Value call

Matthew Boyd has one live pick today: over 13.5 outs recorded that pays $193 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
16.3 outs recorded
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.3% · before adjusting for past results 74.6% · the book's price implies 51.8% · gap -0.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Tue 29 Sep, 10:00 PM ET
Matthew Boyd
over 13.5 outs recorded
Pitcher - Outs Over 13.5 -108 (1.93) · $100→$193
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.30 Odds-108
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Matthew Boyd is Over 13.5 on Pitcher - Outs.
On Pitcher - Outs, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 14, 9:24PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 143 of 246 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Outs74.6%51.3%51.8%2.02+22.8%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs: Matthew Boyd Over 13.5 Pitcher - Outs (-112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Matthew Boyd is taking the mound for the Cubs, and he's been giving up runs at a lower rate than most pitchers lately. The Padres are on a hot streak, winning 8 of their last 10 games, so they're likely to make things tough for him. Boyd also hasn't been getting many strikeouts, averaging just 0.7 in his last few games, which suggests he might struggle to get batters out quickly. Betting on Boyd to get over 13.5 outs seems like a smart choice given how well the Padres have been hitting and their recent form at home. The risk here is that the Padres might score runs early and force Boyd out of the game sooner than expected. Still, the chance for a good outcome is pretty solid with the way both teams are playing.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Walks 0.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
29 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Strikeouts 3.5 Over +101 ✓ HIT
29 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Over +126 ✓ HIT
29 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Outs — — — Pending
29 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending
29 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Matthew Boyd (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matthew Boyd is Over 13.5 on Pitcher - Outs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.8% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres on Tuesday 29 September at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.