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The latest Bet Better model pick for Matthew Boyd is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 47 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 47%, implied 55%, edge +22.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 2.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 1, 2:26AM UTC
MLB

Matthew Boyd

CLE

+22.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Under 1.5 -120 (1.83) · $100→$183
+22.5% Edge
Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona · Indoor
Wed 26 Aug, 7:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
77 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 77.2% · the book's price implies 54.6% · gap +22.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks77.2%46.6%54.6%1.93+22.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Matthew Boyd (CLE) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Arizona Diamondbacks play Chicago Cubs in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Matthew Boyd (CLE) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-120). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.33 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Matthew Boyd is averaging 4.6 hits, 0.4 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

4.6
Hits
0.4
HR
0.0
RBI
1.4
Runs
2.4
Walks
5.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Matthew Boyd has gone over 2.5 SO in 0% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Matthew Boyd is averaging 4.6 hits per game over his last 5 and 4.8 in away games.

4.6
Hits · Overall
4.8
Hits · Away
0.4
HR · Overall
0.4
HR · Away
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Aug 26 Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks Pitcher - Hits Allowed 5.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -119 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks Pitcher - Walks Pending
22 Aug 26 Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending
22 Aug 26 Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending
22 Aug 26 Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners Pitcher - Walks Pending

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About This Player

Matthew Boyd (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matthew Boyd is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.5% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Cubs vs Arizona Diamondbacks on Wednesday 26 August at Chase Field, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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