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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Matthew Boyd is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 40%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 1.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 0.50 BBlanded 8 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 24, 11:07AM UTC
MLB

Matthew Boyd

MLB

Value call

Matthew Boyd has one live pick today: Pitcher - Walks Over 1.5 that pays $247 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Over 1.5 +147 (2.47) · $100→$247
Value call
Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs
Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois · Outdoor
Thu 24 Sep, 6:20PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 101 of 172 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
1.7 Pitcher - Walks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.4% · the book's price implies 40.5% · gap +9.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks50.4%40.5%1.98+9.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Matthew Boyd Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+147)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Chicago Cubs play Miami Marlins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Matthew Boyd Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+147). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at +147 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Matthew Boyd's lines for Thu 24 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pitcher Walks 1.5

Matthew Boyd's pitcher walks line is 1.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 4.5

Matthew Boyd's pitcher strikeouts line is 4.5.

Pitcher Outs 15.5
+112 best over price · 5 books

Matthew Boyd's pitcher outs line is 15.5, best over price +112 across 5 books.

Pitcher Hits Allowed 3.5
-149 best over price · 4 books

Matthew Boyd's pitcher hits allowed line is 3.5, best over price -149 across 4 books.

Pitcher Earned Runs 1.5
+103 best over price · 3 books

Matthew Boyd's pitcher earned runs line is 1.5, best over price +103 across 3 books.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Matthew Boyd is averaging 4.6 hits, 0.4 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

4.6
Hits
0.4
HR
0.0
RBI
1.4
Runs
2.4
Walks
5.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Matthew Boyd has gone over 2.5 SO in 0% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Matthew Boyd is averaging 4.6 hits per game over his last 5 and 4.8 in away games.

4.6
Hits · Overall
4.8
Hits · Away
0.4
HR · Overall
0.4
HR · Away
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds Pitcher - Strikeouts 4.5 Under +114 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs Pitcher - Strikeouts 5.5 Under -101 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs Pitcher - Outs 17.5 Under +132 ✓ HIT
07 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers Pitcher - Walks Pending
07 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending
26 Aug 26 Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks Pitcher - Walks Pending

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About This Player

Matthew Boyd is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matthew Boyd is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.9% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs on Thursday 24 September at Wrigley Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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