Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Matthew Boyd is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 68%, for a model edge of +4.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:13PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks
Under 1.5
-213 (1.47) · $100→$147
+4.7% Edge
Chicago Cubs
@
Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 6:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs CHC @ KC
updated Aug 9, 6:10PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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Implied Probability
68.0%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Walks | 72.7% | — | 68.0% | 1.38 | +4.7% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/5 |
| Last 10 games | 0/10 |
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Matthew Boyd (CLE) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-213)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Kansas City Royals play Chicago Cubs in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Matthew Boyd (CLE) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-213). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -213 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.69 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
Matthew Boyd MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted 80%hit L10
15.8avg outs · L5
Streak4L2085%
Matthew Boyd MLB outs: cleared over 12.5 in 80% of the last 10 games; averaging 15.8 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Matthew Boyd (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matthew Boyd is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.7% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals on Sunday 9 August at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.