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The latest Bet Better model pick for Alex Bregman is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks.
On the Batter - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 86%, versus the book's implied 71%, for a model edge of +14.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 5:28PM UTC
MLB

Alex Bregman

HOU

+14.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Walks Under 0.5 -244 (1.41) · $100→$141
+14.7% Edge
Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals
Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia · Outdoor
Tue 11 Aug, 10:45PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 559 of 1,032 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
85.6%
Implied Probability
70.9%
Model Edge
+14.7%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Walks85.6%—70.9%1.17+14.7%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Alex Bregman (HOU) Under 0.5 Walks (-244)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Washington Nationals play Chicago Cubs in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Alex Bregman (HOU) Under 0.5 Walks (-244). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -244 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Alex Bregman is averaging 1.0 hits, 1.0 home runs and 1.3 RBIs per game over his last 3 games.

1.0
Hits
1.0
HR
1.3
RBI
2.0
Runs
0.3
Walks
0.7
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Alex Bregman has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 60% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.560%
o1.510%
o2.510%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Alex Bregman is averaging 1.0 hits per game over his last 5.

1.0
Hits · Overall
1.0
HR · Overall
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Chicago Cubs @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -455 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Alex Bregman (HOU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alex Bregman is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.7% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals on Tuesday 11 August at Nationals Park, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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