Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Miguel Amaya is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 66 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 66%, implied 55%, edge +29.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 21, 11:37AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits
Under 0.5
-123 (1.81) · $100→$181
+29.6% Edge
Chicago Cubs
@
Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Sat 22 Aug, 2:10AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 840 of 1,690 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
How often this wins
85 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 84.8% · the book's price implies 55.2% · gap +29.6%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Hits | 84.8% | 65.5% | 55.2% | 1.94 | +29.6% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime
| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 1/5 |
| Last 10 games | 1/5 |
See his full recent form
Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.
Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime
Miguel Amaya Under 0.5 Hits (-123)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Seattle Mariners play Chicago Cubs in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Miguel Amaya Under 0.5 Hits (-123). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at -123 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.13 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases
Miguel Amaya has gone over 1.5 total bases in 20% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
Miguel Amaya is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Miguel Amaya is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.6% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners on Saturday 22 August at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.