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The latest Bet Better model pick for Miguel Amaya is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100. For the numbers: model probability 75%, implied 78%, edge -2.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 13, 11:18AM UTC
MLB

Miguel Amaya

MLB

-2.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Under 0.5 -345 (1.29) · $100→$129
-2.0% Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs
Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois · Outdoor
Sun 13 Sep, 6:20PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb batter home runs overs: 32 of 182 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Batter - Runs Scored
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 75.5% · the book's price implies 77.5% · gap -2.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored75.5%—77.5%1.32-2.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Miguel Amaya Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-345)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Chicago Cubs play Pittsburgh Pirates in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Miguel Amaya Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-345). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -345 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Miguel Amaya's lines for Sun 13 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Runs Scored 0.5
How many home runs does Miguel Amaya hit?

Miguel Amaya's batter runs scored line is 0.5.

Batter RBIs 0.5
+344 best over price · 1 bookHow many home runs does Miguel Amaya hit?

Miguel Amaya's batter rbis line is 0.5, best over price +344 across 1 book.

Batter Hits 0.5
+117 best over price · 2 booksHow many home runs does Miguel Amaya hit?

Miguel Amaya's batter hits line is 0.5, best over price +117 across 2 books.

Batter Doubles 0.5
+620 best over price · 2 booksHow many home runs does Miguel Amaya hit?

Miguel Amaya's batter doubles line is 0.5, best over price +620 across 2 books.

Batter Walks 0.5
+263 best over price · 3 booksHow many home runs does Miguel Amaya hit?

Miguel Amaya's batter walks line is 0.5, best over price +263 across 3 books.

Batter Strikeouts 0.5
How many home runs does Miguel Amaya hit?

Miguel Amaya's batter strikeouts line is 0.5.

Batter Singles 0.5
+193 best over price · 1 bookHow many home runs does Miguel Amaya hit?

Miguel Amaya's batter singles line is 0.5, best over price +193 across 1 book.

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Miguel Amaya has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.550%
o1.510%
o2.510%
o3.50%
o4.50%
Quick answers:How many home runs does Miguel Amaya hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -435 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -294 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Over +302 ✗ MISS
08 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Doubles — — — Pending
02 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs Batter - RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Miguel Amaya is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Miguel Amaya is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of -2.0% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs on Sunday 13 September at Wrigley Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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