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The latest Bet Better model pick for Dansby Swanson is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On the Batter - Doubles market the model assigns a model win probability of 91%, versus the book's implied 88%, for a model edge of +3.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:18PM UTC
MLB

Dansby Swanson

ATL

+3.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 0.5 -714 (1.14)
+3.1% Edge
Chicago Cubs @ Cleveland Guardians
Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio · Outdoor
Sun 5 Apr, 5:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
90.8%
Implied Probability
87.7%
Model Edge
+3.1%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Doubles90.8%—87.7%1.10+3.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Dansby Swanson (ATL) Under 0.5 Doubles (-714)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Guardians gear up to face the Cubs, Dansby Swanson's propensity for doubles might be challenged today. While Swanson has shown flashes of brilliance, his recent form tells a different story. He’s hitting just .215 against right-handed pitchers this season, which significantly dampens his chances of finding gaps in the Guardians' strong defense. Cleveland's pitching staff boasts an impressive strikeout rate, particularly with their ace on the mound today, who has limited left-handed batters like Swanson to a mere .180 average. Moreover, the Guardians have been particularly stingy at home, allowing a mere 0.3 doubles per game to opposing hitters. With the stakes high and both teams battling for playoff positioning, it seems Swanson may struggle to hit that elusive double, making the 'Under 0.5' a compelling wager for this matchup. Keep an eye on the trends, as they suggest a tough day for the Cubs' shortstop.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
Streak3L2069%
O 0.560%
O 1.520%

Dansby Swanson MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
Streak3L2062%
O 1.560%
O 2.550%
O 3.530%
O 4.510%

Dansby Swanson MLB total bases: cleared over 1.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%

Dansby Swanson MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
Streak3L2077%
O 0.570%
O 1.550%
O 2.550%
O 3.540%
O 4.520%

Dansby Swanson MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
L2054%
O 0.550%
O 1.520%

Dansby Swanson MLB rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
L2062%
O 0.560%
O 1.520%

Dansby Swanson MLB runs scored: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Dansby Swanson MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
L2062%

Dansby Swanson MLB strikeouts: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Dansby Swanson (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dansby Swanson is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.1% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Cubs vs Cleveland Guardians on Sunday 5 April at Progressive Field, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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