Carson Kelly (DET) Under 1.5 Walks (-714)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Giants host the Cubs, all eyes will be on Carson Kelly, especially when it comes to his walk totals. Kelly has been a disciplined hitter, but lately, he's faced a tough combination of Giants pitching that thrives on command. San Francisco's staff has shown an impressive ability to limit free passes, ranking among the league's best in walk rate allowed.
Digging deeper, Kelly’s recent performance against right-handers—especially those like Logan Webb, who commands the zone well—suggests he might struggle to draw walks. With Webb’s impressive strikeout-to-walk ratio, the odds lean heavily towards Kelly finishing under that 1.5 walks line. Given the Giants' overall trend of minimizing opportunities at the plate, a bet on the under feels like a savvy play, tapping into both recent form and matchup dynamics. Expect a competitive game, but don’t count on many free passes for Kelly today.