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Model picks & player props
MLB
Citi Field, Queens (NYC)
Outdoor
Thu 27 Aug 2026, 7:11 PM ET
Milwaukee Brewers
VS
New York Mets

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets and backs New York Mets hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $305.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
New York Mets
New York Mets Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
You bet$10 If it wins$30.50Best price+205
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win30.9%
The price says31.4%

The model graded 70 markets for Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $305 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 27 Aug 2026, 7:11 PM ET at Citi Field.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings New York Mets Long-shot31% chance +205
Moneyline Members only Lean43% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot27% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot32% chance Members
Spread Members only Long-shot33% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Long-shot32% chance Members
Pitcher - Walks × 2 props Highup to 84% Members
Pitcher - Outs × 1 prop Highup to 99% Members
Batter - Walks × 11 props Highup to 98% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 7 props Highup to 64% Members
Batter - Hits × 4 props Highup to 71% Members
Batter - Singles × 2 props Highup to 68% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 3 props Highup to 66% Members
Batter - RBIs × 5 props Highup to 74% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets last met on Thu 27 Aug 2026: Milwaukee Brewers won 8-2. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
New York Mets
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 75,033+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
New York MetsMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Brian Fitzpatrick RPOut
  • Quinn Priester SPOut
  • Angel Zerpa RPOut

Probable pitcher

Jacob Misiorowski SP

New York Mets

  • Jorge Polanco DHOut
  • Tylor Megill SPOut
  • Reed Garrett RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Jared Young 1BOut
Availability updated Nov 3, 3:01PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 8 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability8 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Sean Manaea Pitcher - Walks
Jacob Misiorowski Pitcher - Outs
Joey Ortiz MIL Batter - Walks
Jacob Misiorowski MIL Pitcher - Walks
Cooper Pratt Batter - Walks

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York MetsNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.4L5 RA3.2Home L53-2vs Milwaukee Brewers L54-1

New York Mets moneyline form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Mets run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.4L5 RA3.2Home L53-2vs Milwaukee Brewers L54-1

New York Mets spread form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Mets vs Milwaukee BrewersNo line posted

New York Mets total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Mets team totalNo line posted
4.0runs we expect
L5 RF5.4L5 RA3.2Home L53-2vs Milwaukee Brewers L54-1

New York Mets team total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets — recent results

New York Mets have won 2 of their last 5 games; Milwaukee Brewers have won 4 of their last 5.

New York Mets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–6WSHAway
W7–1WSHAway
L6–7WSHAway
W7–2TEXAway
L1–3TEXAway
Milwaukee Brewers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–1TBAway
L3–4TBAway
W10–1TBAway
W5–4TBHome
W3–2TBHome

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Mets are scoring 0.8 runs per game (1-4) while Milwaukee Brewers are at 1.6 (3-2); New York Mets pitchers are allowing 1.0 earned runs per game versus 0.4 for Milwaukee Brewers.

0.8
New York Mets runs/G
1.6
Milwaukee Brewers runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York MetsMilwaukee Brewers
Runs / game0.81.6
Hits / game2.23.6
Home runs / game0.20.0
Walks drawn / game0.20.6
Batter K / game1.82.0
Earned runs allowed / game1.00.4
Pitching K / game1.01.8
Walks allowed / game0.80.6
L5 record1-43-2

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: New York Mets won 2, Milwaukee Brewers won 4.

DateNew York MetsMilwaukee BrewersWinner
Aug 2728Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 2618Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 2532New York Mets
Jul 2234Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 2140New York Mets
Jul 2038Milwaukee Brewers

Who’s out or in doubt

8 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Mets
PlayerStatus
Jorge Polanco DHOUT
Tylor Megill SPOUT
Reed Garrett RPOUT
Pierson Ohl RPOUT
Jared Young 1BOUT
Milwaukee Brewers
PlayerStatus
Brian Fitzpatrick RPOUT
Quinn Priester SPOUT
Angel Zerpa RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets — model preview

Our Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets prediction for August 28, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 28, 2026 our model has run Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Jackson Chourio Under 0.5 Walks (-270), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Brewers vs Mets, or as Mets vs Brewers. The most recent game between them was Thursday 27 August 2026 at Citi Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 27 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers beat New York Mets 8-2 on the road
  • 26 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers beat New York Mets 8-1 on the road
  • 25 Aug 2026New York Mets beat Milwaukee Brewers 3-2 at home

Milwaukee Brewers: last 5 results

  1. 28 Oct 2026Wonat Tampa Bay Rays 4-1
  2. 27 Oct 2026Lostat Tampa Bay Rays 3-4
  3. 26 Oct 2026Wonat Tampa Bay Rays 10-1
  4. 24 Oct 2026Wonvs Tampa Bay Rays 5-4
  5. 23 Oct 2026Wonvs Tampa Bay Rays 3-2

New York Mets: last 5 results

  1. 27 Sep 2026Lostat Washington Nationals 4-6
  2. 26 Sep 2026Wonat Washington Nationals 7-1
  3. 25 Sep 2026Lostat Washington Nationals 6-7
  4. 24 Sep 2026Lostat Texas Rangers 1-3
  5. 23 Sep 2026Wonat Texas Rangers 7-2

Quick answers

Who won the last New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers game? Milwaukee Brewers won their last meeting 8-2 on 27 August 2026.

How have Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets done lately? Milwaukee Brewers won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 results we hold. New York Mets won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets: the season so far

From every final score this season

Milwaukee Brewers are 114-61 this season and New York Mets are 74-88. New York Mets are 36-45 at home. Milwaukee Brewers are 53-35 on the road. New York Mets score 4.3 runs a game and let in 4.5. Milwaukee Brewers score 5.1 and let in 3.7. New York Mets games have averaged 8.8 runs in total; Milwaukee Brewers games have averaged 8.8.

SeasonMilwaukee BrewersNew York Mets
Won-lost114-6174-88
At home61-2636-45
On the road53-3538-43
Last 109-15-5
Runs scored a game5.14.3
Runs let in a game3.74.5
Runs scored at home5.44.1
Runs scored away4.84.5
Against winning sides54-3135-46
Current runWon 1Lost 1
Biggest win22-0 vs Seattle Mariners14-3 vs Atlanta Braves
Heaviest loss17-3 at Chicago Cubs15-3 at Philadelphia Phillies

Teams they have both played

  • Against Washington Nationals: New York Mets lost 4-6 on the road; Milwaukee Brewers lost 2-3 on the road.
  • Against Texas Rangers: New York Mets lost 1-3 on the road; Milwaukee Brewers lost 4-7 at home.
  • Against Philadelphia Phillies: New York Mets lost 2-7 at home; Milwaukee Brewers won 5-1 on the road.

Quick answers

How are New York Mets doing this season? New York Mets are 74-88 this season: 36-45 at home and 38-43 on the road.

How many runs do Milwaukee Brewers score a game? Milwaukee Brewers score 5.1 runs a game this season and let in 3.7, across 175 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets head-to-head record

Final scores · 27 meetings on record
Milwaukee Brewers 20–7 across the last 27 meetings · these games average 8.0 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Thu 27 Aug 2026, Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets: the Brewers won 8-2.

DateGameScoreWinner
27 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets2–8Milwaukee Brewers
26 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets1–8Milwaukee Brewers
25 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets3–2New York Mets
22 Jul 2026New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers4–3Milwaukee Brewers
21 Jul 2026New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers0–4New York Mets
20 Jul 2026New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers8–3Milwaukee Brewers
10 Aug 2025New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers7–6Milwaukee Brewers
9 Aug 2025New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers7–4Milwaukee Brewers
8 Aug 2025New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers3–2Milwaukee Brewers
3 Jul 2025Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets3–2New York Mets

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 27 meetings on file.

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