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The latest Bet Better model pick for Bobby Witt Jr. is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On the Batter - Doubles market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 78%, for a model edge of +10.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 29, 1:04AM UTC
MLB

Bobby Witt Jr.

KCR

+10.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 0.5 -357 (1.28)
+10.6% Edge
San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri · Outdoor
Tue 21 Jul, 11:40PM
OUT
Manager Matt Quatraro said that Witt, who is out of the lineup for Tuesday's game against the Giants, is still feeling "pretty stiff" as he continues to manage back spasms and tightness, Jaylon T. Thompson of The Kansas City Star reports.
updated Jul 22, 3:00PM UTC · 6d old
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Model Probability
88.7%
Implied Probability
78.1%
Model Edge
+10.6%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Doubles88.7%—78.1%1.13+10.6%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Bobby Witt Jr. (KCR) Under 0.5 Doubles (-357)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Royals gear up to face the Giants, all eyes will be on Bobby Witt Jr. to see if he can add to his doubles tally. However, recent trends indicate that this might not be the best game for him to stretch the ball into extra bases. While Witt has shown flashes of brilliance this season, he’s been feeling the pressure lately, with a dip in his contact rate against lefties—particularly against pitchers who can keep the ball low in the zone. Enter the Giants’ left-handed starter, who has been effective at limiting doubles this season, holding opponents to a mere .230 batting average. With the Royals struggling to find their rhythm offensively and Witt’s recent performance suggesting he might be more of a singles hitter today, betting on him to stay under 0.5 doubles feels like a prudent choice. The odds are stacked in favor of a quiet day for Witt on the base paths.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.529%
O 1.529%
O 2.514%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.8 · hi 2 · lo 0
2100

Bobby Witt Jr. MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.529%
O 2.529%
O 3.529%
O 4.529%
O 5.514%

Bobby Witt Jr. MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.529%

Bobby Witt Jr. MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.543%
O 1.529%
O 2.529%
O 3.529%
O 4.529%

Bobby Witt Jr. MLB hits + runs + rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.529%
O 1.514%
O 2.514%

Bobby Witt Jr. MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.543%
O 1.514%

Bobby Witt Jr. MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.529%

Bobby Witt Jr. MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Jul 26 San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -357 ✓ HIT
21 Jul 26 San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -213 ✓ HIT
21 Jul 26 San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -200 ✓ HIT
20 Jul 26 San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Hits — — — Pending
19 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Hits — — — Pending
19 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending

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About This Player

Bobby Witt Jr. (KCR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bobby Witt Jr. is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.6% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco Giants vs Kansas City Royals on Tuesday 21 July at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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