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Bobby Witt Jr.

KCR

Value call

Bobby Witt Jr. has one live pick today: over 1.5 stolen bases that pays $3,200 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
21 in 100
Predicted
0.2 stolen bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 20.7% · before adjusting for past results 4.7% · the book's price implies 3.1% · gap +17.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri · Outdoor
Sun 27 Sep, 3:10 PM ET
Bobby Witt Jr.
over 1.5 stolen bases
Batter - Stolen Bases Over 1.5 +3100 (32.00) · $100→$3,200
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 21 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$320.00 Odds+3100
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bobby Witt Jr. is Over 1.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On Batter - Stolen Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 21 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 21%, the price says 3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 12:38PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 145 of 250 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases4.7%20.7%3.1%4.83+1.6%

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AI Analysis

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Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians: Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Batter - Stolen Bases (+3100)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Bobby Witt Jr. is really turning heads lately, getting hits at about 1.4 times his usual rate. He hits the ball hard and at the perfect angle more often than most players, which makes him a threat when he's on the base paths. The Royals are struggling, having won only 1 of their last 6 games and lost their last 4 on the road. On the other hand, the Guardians are in great form, winning 8 of their last 10 games. With Witt's recent performance and the Royals needing a spark, betting on him to steal over 1.5 bases seems like a solid pick. Just keep in mind that the Royals have been having a tough time lately, which could affect how aggressive they are on the bases.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -123 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -244 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Walks 0.5 Over +311 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Walks — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Singles — — — Pending

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About This Player

Bobby Witt Jr. (KCR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bobby Witt Jr. is Over 1.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.6% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals on Sunday 27 September at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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