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MLB

Michael Wacha

KCR

+3.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 2.5 -909 (1.11)
+3.6% Edge
Toronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
Sun 21 Sep, 6:10PM
Model Probability
93.7%
Implied Probability
90.1%
Model Edge
+3.6%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Michael Wacha (KCR) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Over 2.5 bet on Michael Wacha's hits allowed is a sensible choice, given his recent performance data. Wacha's average hits allowed over the last five games is significantly higher than the line set for this bet, both overall (4.8) and at home (4.6). Against the Blue Jays, his hits allowed average jumps even higher to 6.2. Furthermore, his innings pitched average is around 5, meaning he's likely to be on the mound long enough to allow more than 2.5 hits. His current hit streaks of 19 overall and 26 at home also suggest a pattern of allowing hits. Therefore, the statistical data indicates a high probability of Wacha allowing over 2.5 hits in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

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