Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Michael Wacha is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 80%, versus the book's implied 59%, for a model edge of +21.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 7:04PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks
Under 1.5
-145 (1.69) · $100→$169
+21.0% Edge
Minnesota Twins
@
Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri · Outdoor
Thu 6 Aug, 11:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
59.2%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Walks | 80.2% | — | 59.2% | 1.25 | +21.0% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 1/5 |
| Last 10 games | 1/10 |
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Michael Wacha (KCR) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-145)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Kansas City Royals play Minnesota Twins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Michael Wacha (KCR) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-145). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -145 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
Michael Wacha MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted 90%hit L10
15.6avg outs · L5
Streak4L2090%
Michael Wacha MLB outs: cleared over 14.5 in 90% of the last 10 games; averaging 15.6 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Michael Wacha (KCR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Michael Wacha is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.0% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals on Thursday 6 August at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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