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The latest Bet Better model pick for Carter Jensen is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On the Batter - Doubles market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 84%, for a model edge of +4.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 10:04AM UTC
MLB

Carter Jensen

MLB

+4.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 0.5 -526 (1.19)
+4.7% Edge
San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri · Outdoor
Tue 21 Jul, 11:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
88.7%
Implied Probability
84.0%
Model Edge
+4.7%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Doubles88.7%—84.0%1.13+4.7%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Carter Jensen (NA) Under 0.5 Doubles (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Kansas City Royals host the San Francisco Giants on July 21, 2026, keep a close eye on Carter Jensen's odds for a double. Jensen's recent performance has been less than stellar, with his swing struggling against right-handed pitching, and the Giants' Logan Webb isn't the kind of pitcher to make it easier. Webb has been nearly untouchable, boasting a 2.85 ERA and limiting opponents to a .230 batting average this season. The Royals, as a team, are faltering against quality pitching, sitting near the bottom in doubles allowed to righties. With Jensen's current form and the Giants' defensive prowess, betting on him to stay under 0.5 doubles feels like the smart play. The numbers back it up, suggesting an 84% chance he won't find the gap for extra bases. As the game unfolds, it looks like Jensen will be kept at bay by a stellar Giants' defense.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)

Betting angles

3 markets live
Batter - Total BasesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -164+11.5% edge
Game log vs U 1.52 / 4 hit
0520

Carter Jensen MLB total bases. Current line U 1.5 at -164 (+11.5% model edge).

Batter - RBIsUpcoming gameU 0.5 -256+8.5% edge

Carter Jensen MLB rbis. Current line U 0.5 at -256 (+8.5% model edge).

Batter - DoublesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -526+4.7% edge

Carter Jensen MLB doubles. Current line U 0.5 at -526 (+4.7% model edge).

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.520%

Carter Jensen MLB hits + runs + rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
O 1.510%

Carter Jensen MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Jul 26 San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -270 ✓ HIT
20 Jul 26 San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -141 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -147 ✗ MISS
18 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
09 Jul 26 Kansas City Royals @ New York Mets Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending

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About This Player

Carter Jensen is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Carter Jensen is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.7% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco Giants vs Kansas City Royals on Tuesday 21 July at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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