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Model picks & player props
MLB
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Chicago Cubs
VS
Kansas City Royals

Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals and backs Chicago Cubs hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $590.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Chicago Cubs
to win
Chicago Cubs Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$59.00Best price+490
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win51.1%
The price says16.9%

The model graded 70 markets for Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $590 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 9 Aug 2026, 2:10 PM ET at Kauffman Stadium.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Chicago Cubs Lean51% chance +490
Spread Members only Lean48% chance Members
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Members only High67% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only High62% chance Members
Moneyline Members only High61% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Lean41% chance Members
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 1 prop Highup to 75% Members
Batter - Singles × 8 props Highup to 90% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 5 props Highup to 83% Members
Batter - Hits × 4 props Highup to 95% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 12 props Highup to 85% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 10 props Highup to 91% Members
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 2 props Highup to 89% Members
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Highup to 90% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Chicago Cubs and Kansas City Royals last met on Sun 9 Aug 2026: Chicago Cubs won 10-2. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 72,657+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Chicago CubsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kansas City RoyalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kansas City RoyalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kansas City RoyalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kansas City RoyalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kansas City RoyalsMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kansas City RoyalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kansas City RoyalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kansas City RoyalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kansas City RoyalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kansas City RoyalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kansas City RoyalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kansas City RoyalsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kansas City RoyalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kansas City RoyalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kansas City RoyalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kansas City RoyalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kansas City RoyalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago Cubs

  • Justin Steele SPOut
  • Shelby Miller RPOut
  • Ben Brown RPOut
  • Phil Maton RPOut
  • Riley Martin RPOut
  • Hunter Harvey RPOut
  • Porter Hodge RPOut
  • Cade Horton SPOut
  • Tyler Austin 1BOut

Kansas City Royals

  • Steven Cruz RPOut
  • Nick Mears RPOut
  • Mitch Spence RPDay-to-day
  • Luinder Avila SPOut
  • Stephen Kolek SPOut
  • Cole Ragans SPOut
  • Ryan Bergert SPDay-to-day
Availability updated Sep 29, 5:37PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Randy Dobnak Pitcher - Strikeouts
Tyler Tolbert Batter - Singles
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC Batter - Runs Scored
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC Batter - Hits
Nick Loftin Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineKansas City RoyalsNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF5.8L5 RA8.6Home L52-3vs Chicago Cubs L52-3

Kansas City Royals moneyline form: last five 1-4, 5.8 runs/gm.

Run LineKansas City Royals run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF5.8L5 RA8.6Home L52-3vs Chicago Cubs L52-3

Kansas City Royals spread form: last five 1-4, 5.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Kansas City Royals vs Chicago CubsNo line posted

Kansas City Royals total runs form: last five 1-4, 5.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsKansas City Royals team totalNo line posted
4.9runs we expect
L5 RF5.8L5 RA8.6Home L52-3vs Chicago Cubs L52-3

Kansas City Royals team total runs form: last five 1-4, 5.8 runs/gm.

Chicago Cubs @ Kansas City Royals — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Chicago Cubs at Kansas City Royals — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals — recent results

Kansas City Royals have won 2 of their last 5 games; Chicago Cubs have won 1 of their last 5.

Kansas City Royals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–2CLEHome
L5–11CLEHome
L9–12CLEHome
L1–9CHWHome
W5–4CHWHome
Chicago Cubs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–4SDAway
L0–8SDAway
W6–2BOSAway
L0–2BOSAway
L3–4BOSAway

Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Kansas City Royals won 1, Chicago Cubs won 4.

DateKansas City RoyalsChicago CubsWinner
Aug 9210Chicago Cubs
Aug 846Chicago Cubs
Aug 863Kansas City Royals
Mar 1189Chicago Cubs
Feb 2323Chicago Cubs

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Kansas City Royals
PlayerStatus
Steven Cruz RPOUT
Nick Mears RPOUT
Mitch Spence RPDAY-TO-DAY
Luinder Avila SPOUT
Stephen Kolek SPOUT
Cole Ragans SPOUT
Ryan Bergert SPDAY-TO-DAY
Chicago Cubs
PlayerStatus
Justin Steele SPOUT
Shelby Miller RPOUT
Ben Brown RPOUT
Phil Maton RPOUT
Riley Martin RPOUT
Hunter Harvey RPOUT
Porter Hodge RPOUT
Cade Horton SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Chicago Cubs @ Kansas City Royals — model preview

Our Chicago Cubs at Kansas City Royals prediction for August 10, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 10, 2026 our model has run Chicago Cubs at Kansas City Royals and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Salvador Perez (KCR) Under 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-345), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 1 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cubs vs Royals, or as Royals vs Cubs. The most recent game between them was Sunday 9 August 2026 at Kauffman Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 9 Aug 2026Chicago Cubs beat Kansas City Royals 10-2 on the road
  • 8 Aug 2026Kansas City Royals beat Chicago Cubs 6-3 at home
  • 7 Aug 2026Chicago Cubs beat Kansas City Royals 6-4 on the road

Chicago Cubs: last 5 results

  1. 30 Sep 2026Lostat San Diego Padres 1-4
  2. 29 Sep 2026Lostat San Diego Padres 0-8
  3. 27 Sep 2026Wonat Boston Red Sox 6-2
  4. 25 Sep 2026Lostat Boston Red Sox 0-2
  5. 25 Sep 2026Lostat Boston Red Sox 3-4

Kansas City Royals: last 5 results

  1. 27 Sep 2026Wonvs Cleveland Guardians 3-2
  2. 26 Sep 2026Lostvs Cleveland Guardians 5-11
  3. 25 Sep 2026Lostvs Cleveland Guardians 9-12
  4. 24 Sep 2026Lostvs Chicago White Sox 1-9
  5. 23 Sep 2026Wonvs Chicago White Sox 5-4

Quick answers

Who won the last Kansas City Royals vs Chicago Cubs game? Chicago Cubs won their last meeting 10-2 on 9 August 2026.

How have Chicago Cubs and Kansas City Royals done lately? Chicago Cubs won 1 and lost 4 of the last 5 results we hold. Kansas City Royals won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals head-to-head record

Final scores · 21 meetings on record
Chicago Cubs 14–7 across the last 21 meetings · these games average 9.6 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 9 Aug 2026, Chicago Cubs at Kansas City Royals: the Cubs won 10-2.

DateGameScoreWinner
9 Aug 2026Chicago Cubs @ Kansas City Royals2–10Chicago Cubs
8 Aug 2026Chicago Cubs @ Kansas City Royals4–6Chicago Cubs
7 Aug 2026Chicago Cubs @ Kansas City Royals4–6Chicago Cubs
11 Mar 2026Kansas City Royals @ Chicago Cubs9–8Chicago Cubs
23 Feb 2026Chicago Cubs @ Kansas City Royals2–3Chicago Cubs
23 Jul 2025Kansas City Royals @ Chicago Cubs4–8Kansas City Royals
22 Jul 2025Kansas City Royals @ Chicago Cubs6–0Chicago Cubs
21 Jul 2025Kansas City Royals @ Chicago Cubs4–12Kansas City Royals
6 Mar 2025Kansas City Royals @ Chicago Cubs3–9Kansas City Royals
1 Mar 2025Chicago Cubs @ Kansas City Royals1–11Chicago Cubs

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 21 meetings on file.

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