Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jac Caglianone is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On the Batter - Doubles market the model assigns a model win probability of 88%, versus the book's implied 84%, for a model edge of +3.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 6:46PM UTC
MLB

Jac Caglianone

KCR

+3.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 0.5 -526 (1.19)
+3.7% Edge
San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri · Outdoor
Tue 21 Jul, 11:40PM
DAY-TO-DAY
Caglianone went 2-for-4 with a solo home run, a double and an additional run scored in Sunday's 19-2 loss to the Padres.
updated Jul 22, 1:17AM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
87.8%
Implied Probability
84.0%
Model Edge
+3.7%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Doubles87.8%—84.0%1.14+3.7%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

See the full 20-game form curve

Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jac Caglianone (KCR) Under 0.5 Doubles (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Kansas City Royals host the San Francisco Giants on July 21, all eyes will be on Jac Caglianone, but don’t expect him to rack up doubles tonight. The young slugger has been a bright spot for the Giants, yet he faces a tough challenge against Royals pitcher Brady Singer, who’s been solid at home, boasting a 3.50 ERA this season. Caglianone has been held to just a handful of extra-base hits lately, reflecting a trend where he struggles against righties with a strong strikeout rate. The Royals' defense has also tightened up, limiting players to extra-base hits in key situations. With Caglianone's current form and Singer’s consistency on the mound, betting on him to stay under 0.5 doubles feels like the sharp move. The odds are certainly leaning in favor of this outcome, and the matchup dynamics only bolster the rationale.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
L2065%
O 0.570%
O 1.530%

Jac Caglianone MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 1.550%
O 2.530%
O 3.530%
O 4.520%
O 5.510%

Jac Caglianone MLB total bases: cleared over 1.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Jac Caglianone MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
L2065%
O 0.570%
O 1.540%
O 2.540%
O 3.540%
O 4.530%

Jac Caglianone MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.530%
O 2.510%

Jac Caglianone MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.530%

Jac Caglianone MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%

Jac Caglianone MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Jul 26 San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -526 ✓ HIT
21 Jul 26 San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -189 ✓ HIT
20 Jul 26 San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -233 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
09 Jul 26 Kansas City Royals @ New York Mets Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Jac Caglianone (KCR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jac Caglianone is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.7% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco Giants vs Kansas City Royals on Tuesday 21 July at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks