Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Luinder Avila is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 88 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 88%, the price says 65%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Under 4.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 3.50 SOlanded 9 of the last 10
Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.
Model updated Oct 6, 3:26AM UTC
MLB
Luinder Avila
MLB
Luinder Avila has one live pick today: Pitcher - Walks Under 2.5 that pays $155 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks
Under 2.5
-182 (1.55) · $100→$155
Value call
Kansas City Royals
@
Colorado Rockies
Coors Field, Denver, Colorado · Outdoor
Sun 2 Aug, 12:10AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 135 of 235 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Manager Matt Quatraro said that Avila is scheduled to undergo Tommy John surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Joel Goldberg of Bally Sports Kansas City reports.
updated Aug 6, 7:18PM UTC · 60d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
88 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 87.6% · the book's price implies 64.5% · gap +23.0%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Walks | 87.6% | — | 64.5% | 1.14 | +23.0% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 1/5 |
| Last 10 games | 1/10 |
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Luinder Avila Under 2.5 Walks Allowed (-182)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Colorado Rockies play Kansas City Royals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Luinder Avila Under 2.5 Walks Allowed (-182). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -182 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.49 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Hit-rate ladder: SO
Luinder Avila has gone over 2.5 SO in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
o2.540%
o3.510%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
Luinder Avila is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Luinder Avila is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.0% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Royals vs Colorado Rockies on Sunday 2 August at Coors Field, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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