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Daniel Lynch IV

KCR

Value call

Daniel Lynch IV has one live pick today: under 15.5 outs recorded that pays $166 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
12.6 outs recorded
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 74.6% · before adjusting for past results 79.9% · the book's price implies 60.2% · gap +14.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri · Outdoor
Sun 27 Sep, 3:10 PM ET
Daniel Lynch IV
under 15.5 outs recorded
Pitcher - Outs Under 15.5 -152 (1.66) · $100→$166
Value call
HIGHWins about 75 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.60 Odds-152
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Daniel Lynch IV is Under 15.5 on Pitcher - Outs.
On Pitcher - Outs, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 75%, the price says 60%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 16, 8:27PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 144 of 248 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Outs79.9%74.6%60.2%1.34+19.6%

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AI Analysis

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Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians: Daniel Lynch IV Under 15.5 Pitcher - Outs (-152)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Cleveland Guardians are on fire, winning 8 out of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Kansas City Royals have struggled, winning only 2 of their last 10 and losing 4 straight on the road. This matchup really favors the Guardians, especially with the wind blowing out toward the outfield, which often helps hitters. Daniel Lynch IV hasn't been at his best lately, averaging zero hits and zero strikeouts over his last three games. With the Guardians hitting well and Lynch struggling, betting on him to get under 15.5 outs seems solid. But keep in mind, if the Royals don't perform well, Lynch's chances could drop even further.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)
Overall Hit Rate (21 picks) 57.1% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Quick answers:How many strikeouts does Daniel Lynch IV average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals Pitcher - Outs 15.5 Under -152 ✗ MISS
27 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals Pitcher - Strikeouts 3.5 Under -175 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -135 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
22 Sep 26 Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Daniel Lynch IV (KCR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 57.1% on tracked Daniel Lynch IV picks. The latest model pick for Daniel Lynch IV is Under 15.5 on Pitcher - Outs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.6% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals on Sunday 27 September at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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