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The latest Bet Better model pick for Vinnie Pasquantino is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 70%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +8.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 20, 3:57AM UTC
MLB

Vinnie Pasquantino

MLB

+8.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -164 (1.61)
+8.1% Edge
San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri · Outdoor
Sun 19 Jul, 6:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
70.2%
Implied Probability
62.1%
Model Edge
+8.1%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases70.2%—62.1%1.42+8.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Vinnie Pasquantino (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-164)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we look ahead to Sunday’s clash between the Kansas City Royals and the San Diego Padres, Vinnie Pasquantino’s recent form suggests a tough outing at the plate. The Royals’ young slugger has been battling consistency, with his average dipping in recent weeks. Against a Padres pitching staff that has quietly turned a corner, boasting a solid 3.60 ERA over their last 10 games, he could find himself stymied. Pasquantino’s power has been respectable, but against right-handed pitchers like Yu Darvish, who excels at keeping hitters off balance, he might struggle to find gaps. Given the Padres' impressive ability to limit extra-base hits, the under on his total bases feels like the right play. With the stakes high and pressure mounting, Pasquantino may need to rely more on situational hitting rather than power, making the under 1.5 a savvy bet in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak5
O 0.5100%
O 1.580%
O 2.520%

Vinnie Pasquantino MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak5
O 1.5100%
O 2.540%
O 3.520%
O 4.520%

Vinnie Pasquantino MLB total bases: cleared over 1.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Vinnie Pasquantino MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
89%hit L10
Streak2
O 0.589%
O 1.544%

Vinnie Pasquantino MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 89% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.533%
O 1.522%

Vinnie Pasquantino MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.544%
O 1.533%

Vinnie Pasquantino MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
67%hit L10

Vinnie Pasquantino MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 67% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.2avg walks · L5

Vinnie Pasquantino MLB walks: averaging 0.2 walks over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -164 ✗ MISS
18 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -182 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Vinnie Pasquantino is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Vinnie Pasquantino is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.1% on this pick. Their next game is San Diego Padres vs Kansas City Royals on Sunday 19 July at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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