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The latest Bet Better model pick for Vinnie Pasquantino is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs.
On the Batter - RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 79%, versus the book's implied 70%, for a model edge of +8.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 9, 6:08AM UTC
MLB

Vinnie Pasquantino

MLB

+8.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - RBIs Under 0.5 -238 (1.42)
+8.9% Edge
San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri · Outdoor
Tue 21 Jul, 11:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 468 of 843 right
OUT
Royals manager Matt Quatraro said Pasquantino (wrist) may begin a minor-league rehab assignment Tuesday, Jaylon T. Thompson of The Kansas City Star reports.
updated Aug 8, 9:27PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
79.3%
Implied Probability
70.4%
Model Edge
+8.9%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - RBIs79.3%—70.4%1.26+8.9%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games8/9

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AI Analysis

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Vinnie Pasquantino (NA) Under 0.5 RBIs (-238)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Royals prepare to face off against the Giants, all eyes should be on Vinnie Pasquantino and his RBI production. While Pasquantino has shown flashes of brilliance, he’s been struggling lately at the plate, particularly against right-handed pitchers. The Giants will send out a formidable righty who’s been dominating opposing lineups, boasting an impressive strikeout rate that often keeps runs to a minimum. Looking at recent trends, the Royals' offense has been sputtering, averaging just over three runs per game this month. With Kansas City's lineup not firing on all cylinders and facing a pitcher who excels at neutralizing threats, the likelihood of Pasquantino driving in a run seems slim. Given these factors, betting on him to stay under 0.5 RBIs offers a compelling opportunity, especially with a model prediction suggesting he’ll fall short. It’s a classic case of a pitcher in form facing a lineup in need of a spark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 4(75%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
O 0.560%
O 1.520%

Vinnie Pasquantino MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.540%
O 2.520%
O 3.520%

Vinnie Pasquantino MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Vinnie Pasquantino MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
L2050%
O 0.560%
O 1.540%
O 2.520%
O 3.510%
O 4.510%

Vinnie Pasquantino MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
O 1.510%

Vinnie Pasquantino MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.544%
O 1.533%

Vinnie Pasquantino MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.520%

Vinnie Pasquantino MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.2avg walks · L5

Vinnie Pasquantino MLB walks: averaging 0.2 walks over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Jul 26 San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -238 ✓ HIT
21 Jul 26 San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -500 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -164 ✗ MISS
18 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending

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About This Player

Vinnie Pasquantino is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Vinnie Pasquantino is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.9% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco Giants vs Kansas City Royals on Tuesday 21 July at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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