On October 4, 2026 we like 6 MLB player props from 4 games on the card. The one we are most confident in is Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-145), a HIGH confidence pick. Each one below is our own number against the price the book is offering, in plain English, with how confident we are in words.

The props we like today

Gavin Williams (CLE) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (+119)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Cleveland Guardians play Chicago White Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Gavin Williams (CLE) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (+119). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at +119 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Freddy Peralta (NYM) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-109)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Rays play New York Yankees in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Freddy Peralta (NYM) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-109). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.17 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Gavin Williams (CLE) Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Cleveland Guardians play Chicago White Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Gavin Williams (CLE) Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+114). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at +114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-145)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Cleveland Guardians play Chicago White Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-145). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -145 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Max Muncy (LAD) Under 0.5 Hits (-127)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Dodgers play Atlanta Braves in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Max Muncy (LAD) Under 0.5 Hits (-127). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at -127 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.87 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Ethan Salas Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-120)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Milwaukee Brewers play San Diego Padres in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Ethan Salas Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-120). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.33 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every prop above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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