Spencer Torkelson (DET) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-172)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Detroit Tigers gear up to host the Philadelphia Phillies on July 10, all eyes will be on Spencer Torkelson. However, taking the under on his total bases feels like the smart play. Torkelson has been struggling lately, with a batting average hovering just above .220 over the past couple of weeks. Compounding the challenge, he’ll face Phillies ace Aaron Nola, who has been phenomenal at limiting opposing hitters, allowing just a .215 batting average against him this season. The Tigers’ lineup has also shown vulnerabilities, particularly against right-handed power pitchers, and Nola is adept at striking out hitters when it matters most. Considering Torkelson's recent form and the tough matchup, it's hard to envision him racking up more than one total base in this contest. With the odds stacked against him, taking the under on his total bases could prove to be a wise move.

Kevin McGonigle (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-156)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Tigers host the Phillies, all eyes will be on Kevin McGonigle, but backing him for over 1.5 total bases might be a stretch. Recently, McGonigle has struggled at the plate, hitting just .217 in his last 15 games. The Phillies face a pitching matchup that could stifle any offensive surge; the Tigers’ starter has been lights out lately, boasting a 2.80 ERA over his last five outings. Detroit's bullpen is equally formidable, ranked in the top five for strikeouts per nine innings. The Phillies' lineup has also struggled against right-handed pitchers, averaging only .230 in that split this season. With McGonigle’s recent downturn and the tough pitching he's up against, taking the under on his total bases feels like the prudent play. Detroit's home advantage and strong pitching should keep McGonigle from crossing that 1.5 threshold tonight.

Trea Turner (LAD) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-154)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Trea Turner steps into the batter’s box against the Tigers, the spotlight’s on him, but betting on the under for his total bases feels prudent. He’s been somewhat inconsistent lately, with only a handful of multi-base games in the last month. The Tigers' pitching staff, particularly their starter, has shown an ability to limit damage, boasting a solid 3.80 ERA at home this season. Plus, with the lefty-righty matchup favoring the Tigers, Turner might find himself facing off against a pitcher who can exploit his weaknesses. Digging deeper, the Phillies have been struggling to score consistently, recently averaging just 3.5 runs per game over the last week. Given these trends and the pressure of a close matchup at Comerica Park, it’s reasonable to anticipate Turner staying under 1.5 total bases. With the odds reflecting a 60.6% chance, it’s a smart play that aligns with the current dynamics of both teams.

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