On Sunday 4 October 2026, Buffalo Bills play New England Patriots in the NFL. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Mack Hollins (NE) Under 3.5 Receptions, priced at -112 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Mack Hollins (NE) Under 3.5 Receptions (-112)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Buffalo Bills play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Mack Hollins (NE) Under 3.5 Receptions. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Under 55.5 Rush + Rec Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Buffalo Bills play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Under 55.5 Rush + Rec Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Over 19.5 Player rush yds alternate (-345)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Buffalo Bills play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Over 19.5 Player rush yds alternate. It was priced at -345 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Under 54.5 Rush + Rec Yards (-110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Buffalo Bills play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Under 54.5 Rush + Rec Yards. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots: Buffalo Bills (+144)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Buffalo Bills play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Buffalo Bills. That is a Team Total bet. It was priced at +144 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots: Buffalo Bills (+140)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Buffalo Bills play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Buffalo Bills. That is a Team Total bet. It was priced at +140 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Buffalo Bills v New England Patriots. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article