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Model picks & player props
NFL
Chicago
Thu 22 Oct 2026, 8:15 PM ET
New England Patriots
VS
Chicago Bears

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears and backs Under 50.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $195.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Under 50.5 total points
Under 50.5 Total Points
You bet$10 If it wins$19.52Best price-105
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win66.5%
The price says51.3%

The model graded 70 markets for New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $195 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 22 Oct 2026, 8:15 PM ET at Chicago.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Under 50.5 High66% chance -105
Alternate Team Total Points Members only Long-shot31% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean49% chance Members
Rushing Yards (Alt) × 5 props Highup to 93% Members
Receiving Yards × 8 props Highup to 74% Members
Receptions × 6 props Highup to 65% Members
Receptions (Alt) × 5 props Leanup to 52% Members
Rushing Yards × 3 props Highup to 72% Members
Passing Yards (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 95% Members
Receiving Yards (Alt) × 4 props Highup to 89% Members
Rush + Rec Yards × 1 prop Highup to 69% Members
Rushing Attempts (Alt) × 2 props Leanup to 47% Members
Rushing Attempts × 4 props Highup to 65% Members
Anytime TD × 7 props Long-shotup to 17% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

New England Patriots and Chicago Bears last met on Thu 22 Oct 2026: Chicago Bears won 30-24. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Under
50.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New England PatriotsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New England Patriots

  • Hunter Henry TEQuestionable
  • TreVeyon Henderson RBQuestionable
  • Mack Hollins WROut
  • A.J. Brown WRQuestionable
  • Gabe Jacas LBQuestionable

Chicago Bears

  • Kyle Monangai RBQuestionable
  • Kentavius Street DTQuestionable
  • Grady Jarrett DEQuestionable
  • Malik Muhammad II CBQuestionable
  • Coby Bryant SOut
Availability updated Nov 4, 2:17AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears: Outdoors with 6 mph wind, 60°F — stronger wind and cold both nudge totals and the kicking game down, and 10 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueopen-air outdoor
Surfacenatural grass
Wind6 mph
Temperature60°F
Availability10 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Corey Kiner NE Rushing Yards (Alt)
Rhamondre Stevenson NE Receiving Yards
A.J. Brown NE Receptions
Kalif Raymond CHI Receptions (Alt)
TreVeyon Henderson NE Rushing Yards (Alt)

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew England Patriots to winNo line posted

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadNew England Patriots spreadNo line posted

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsPatriots @ BearsNo line posted

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for New England Patriots at Chicago Bears — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears — recent results

Chicago Bears have won 4 of their last 5 games; New England Patriots have won 4 of their last 5.

Chicago Bears — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W34–17SEAAway
W30–24NEHome
W31–23ATLAway
L7–31GBAway
W23–12NYJHome
New England Patriots — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W24–19MIAAway
L24–30CHIAway
W26–19NYJHome
W45–17LVHome
W29–26BUFAway

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Chicago Bears won 1, New England Patriots won 0.

DateChicago BearsNew England PatriotsWinner
Oct 233024Chicago Bears

Who’s out or in doubt

10 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago Bears
PlayerStatus
Kyle Monangai RBQUESTIONABLE
Kentavius Street DTQUESTIONABLE
Grady Jarrett DEQUESTIONABLE
Malik Muhammad II CBQUESTIONABLE
Coby Bryant SOUT
New England Patriots
PlayerStatus
Hunter Henry TEQUESTIONABLE
TreVeyon Henderson RBQUESTIONABLE
Mack Hollins WROUT
A.J. Brown WRQUESTIONABLE
Gabe Jacas LBQUESTIONABLE

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears — model preview

Chicago Bears v New England Patriots, 23 October 2026. Top of the list: Hunter Henry (NE) Over 33.5 Receiving Yards. Our model likes 6 bets in this game.

On October 22, 2026 our model has run New England Patriots at Chicago Bears and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Hunter Henry Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-110), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Patriots vs Bears, or as Bears vs Patriots. The most recent game between them was Thursday 22 October 2026 at Chicago. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 22 Oct 2026Chicago Bears beat New England Patriots 30-24 at home

New England Patriots: last 5 results

  1. 1 Nov 2026Wonat Miami Dolphins 24-19
  2. 22 Oct 2026Lostat Chicago Bears 24-30
  3. 18 Oct 2026Wonvs New York Jets 26-19
  4. 11 Oct 2026Wonvs Las Vegas Raiders 45-17
  5. 4 Oct 2026Wonat Buffalo Bills 29-26

Chicago Bears: last 5 results

  1. 2 Nov 2026Wonat Seattle Seahawks 34-17
  2. 22 Oct 2026Wonvs New England Patriots 30-24
  3. 18 Oct 2026Wonat Atlanta Falcons 31-23
  4. 11 Oct 2026Lostat Green Bay Packers 7-31
  5. 4 Oct 2026Wonvs New York Jets 23-12

Quick answers

Who won the last Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots game? Chicago Bears won their last meeting 30-24 on 22 October 2026.

How have New England Patriots and Chicago Bears done lately? New England Patriots won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 results we hold. Chicago Bears won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears head-to-head record

Final scores · 4 meetings on record
Even at 2–2 across the last 4 meetings · these games average 48.0 points (meetings on record since 2018)

Last meeting: Fri 23 Oct 2026, New England Patriots at Chicago Bears: the Bears won 30-24.

DateGameScoreWinner
23 Oct 2026New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears30–24Chicago Bears
10 Nov 2024New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears3–19New England Patriots
24 Oct 2022Chicago Bears @ New England Patriots14–33Chicago Bears
21 Oct 2018New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears31–38New England Patriots
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