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Model picks & player props
Buffalo Bills
VS
Jacksonville Jaguars

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 2:08AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NFL
Jacksonville
Sun 11 Jan 2026, 6:00PM
14
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 52.5 Total Points -105

The model graded 14 markets for Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $195 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 11 Jan 2026, 6:00PM at Jacksonville.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win61.2%
The price says51.3%
Best price-105
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Over 52.5 High61% chance -105
Total Points High61% chance —
Total Points Lean60% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Parker Washington Over 6.5 · $100 returned $576

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Over
52.5
-105
+ 13 more markets
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Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 14 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,376+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Buffalo Bills

  • Khalil Shakir WRQuestionable
  • Keon Coleman WRQuestionable
  • Ty Johnson RBQuestionable
  • Terrel Bernard LBQuestionable
  • Jude Bowry OTQuestionable
  • Connor McGovern CQuestionable
  • Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles LBOut
  • Michael Hoecht DEQuestionable

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Zach Durfee DEOut
  • Brian Thomas Jr. WRQuestionable
  • Jakobi Meyers WRQuestionable
  • Parker Hughes LBOut
  • Patrick Mekari GQuestionable
  • Wyatt Milum GQuestionable
  • LeQuint Allen Jr. RBQuestionable
  • Jared Bartlett LBOut
  • Garrett DiGiorgio OTOut
Availability updated Aug 30, 9:16PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineJacksonville Jaguars to winNo line posted

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadJacksonville Jaguars spreadNo line posted

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsBills @ JaguarsNo line posted

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonville Jaguars — what the model found

Our model graded 14 betting markets for Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars — 14 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

14
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 14 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 13 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars — recent results

Jacksonville Jaguars have won 3 of their last 5 games; Buffalo Bills have won 4 of their last 5.

Jacksonville Jaguars — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W19–0TBHome
L17–34CARHome
W24–20NOAway
L24–27BUFHome
W41–7TENHome
Buffalo Bills — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W28–27PITHome
W31–7CLEAway
W29–14CARHome
L30–33DENAway
W27–24JAXAway

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Jacksonville Jaguars won 0, Buffalo Bills won 1.

DateJacksonville JaguarsBuffalo BillsWinner
Jan 112427Buffalo Bills

Who’s out or in doubt

17 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Jacksonville Jaguars
PlayerStatus
Zach Durfee DEOUT
Brian Thomas Jr. WRQUESTIONABLE
Jakobi Meyers WRQUESTIONABLE
Parker Hughes LBOUT
Patrick Mekari GQUESTIONABLE
Wyatt Milum GQUESTIONABLE
LeQuint Allen Jr. RBQUESTIONABLE
Jared Bartlett LBOUT
Buffalo Bills
PlayerStatus
Khalil Shakir WRQUESTIONABLE
Keon Coleman WRQUESTIONABLE
Ty Johnson RBQUESTIONABLE
Terrel Bernard LBQUESTIONABLE
Jude Bowry OTQUESTIONABLE
Connor McGovern CQUESTIONABLE
Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles LBOUT
Michael Hoecht DEQUESTIONABLE

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
11 Jan 26 Total Points Under 51.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Bills vs Jaguars, or as Jaguars vs Bills. The most recent game between them was Sunday 11 January 2026 at Jacksonville. The model has generated 14 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 8 meetings on record
Even at 4–4 across the last 8 meetings · these games average 42.5 points (meetings on record since 2015)
DateGameScoreWinner
11 Jan 2026Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonville Jaguars24–27Buffalo Bills
23 Sep 2024Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills47–10Buffalo Bills
8 Oct 2023Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills20–25Jacksonville Jaguars
7 Nov 2021Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonville Jaguars9–6Jacksonville Jaguars
25 Nov 2018Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills24–21Buffalo Bills
7 Jan 2018Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonville Jaguars10–3Jacksonville Jaguars
27 Nov 2016Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills28–21Buffalo Bills
25 Oct 2015Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonville Jaguars34–31Jacksonville Jaguars
Today's selected board

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