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Model picks & player props
Pittsburgh Steelers
VS
New England Patriots

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 5:32PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NFL
New England
Sun 21 Sep 2025, 5:00PM
6
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
New England Patriots Moneyline +420

The model graded 6 markets for Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $520 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 21 Sep 2025, 5:00PM at New England.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win37.4%
The price says19.2%
Best price+420
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline New England Patriots Long-shot37% chance +420
Total Points High66% chance —
Spread High62% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
New England Patriots
+420
+ 5 more markets
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All 6 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,376+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
New England PatriotsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Will Howard QBQuestionable
  • DK Metcalf WRQuestionable
  • Michael Pittman Jr. WRQuestionable
  • Jalen Ramsey CBQuestionable
  • Brandon Smith WRQuestionable
  • Logan Lee DTOut
  • Jaquan Brisker SQuestionable
  • Cole Burgess WROut
  • Brandin Echols CBQuestionable

New England Patriots

  • Eric Butler SQuestionable
  • Brenden Schooler SOut
  • Harold Landry III LBOut
  • TreVeyon Henderson RBQuestionable
  • Bryce Baringer PQuestionable
  • Marcus Bryant OTQuestionable
  • Myles Montgomery RBOut
  • Ben Brown CQuestionable
Availability updated Aug 29, 5:34PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew England Patriots to winNo line posted

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadPittsburgh Steelers spreadNo line posted

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsSteelers @ PatriotsNo line posted
5-5Free board · overs and unders
Last 105-5Home5-4
Free board · recent overs and unders5-5

New England Patriots game total — on our free board this call has landed 5 of 10 times, updated every game week on BetBetter.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots — 6 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 5 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots — recent results

New England Patriots have won 2 of their last 5 games; Pittsburgh Steelers have won 2 of their last 5.

New England Patriots — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L13–37CLEAway
W24–21PHIHome
D13–13INDHome
L13–29SEAHome
W10–7DENAway
Pittsburgh Steelers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L27–28BUFAway
L0–17NYJHome
W28–9GBHome
L6–30HOUHome
W26–24BALHome

Who’s out or in doubt

17 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New England Patriots
PlayerStatus
Eric Butler SQUESTIONABLE
Brenden Schooler SOUT
Harold Landry III LBOUT
TreVeyon Henderson RBQUESTIONABLE
Bryce Baringer PQUESTIONABLE
Marcus Bryant OTQUESTIONABLE
Myles Montgomery RBOUT
Ben Brown CQUESTIONABLE
Pittsburgh Steelers
PlayerStatus
Will Howard QBQUESTIONABLE
DK Metcalf WRQUESTIONABLE
Michael Pittman Jr. WRQUESTIONABLE
Jalen Ramsey CBQUESTIONABLE
Brandon Smith WRQUESTIONABLE
Logan Lee DTOUT
Jaquan Brisker SQUESTIONABLE
Cole Burgess WROUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Steelers vs Patriots, or as Patriots vs Steelers. The most recent game between them was Sunday 21 September 2025 at New England. The model has generated 6 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 9 meetings on record
New England Patriots 7–2 across the last 9 meetings · these games average 40.4 points (meetings on record since 2015)
DateGameScoreWinner
21 Sep 2025Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots14–21Pittsburgh Steelers
7 Dec 2023New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers18–21New England Patriots
18 Sep 2022New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers14–17New England Patriots
8 Sep 2019Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots33–3New England Patriots
16 Dec 2018New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers17–10Pittsburgh Steelers
17 Dec 2017New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers24–27New England Patriots
22 Jan 2017Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots36–17New England Patriots
23 Oct 2016New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers16–27New England Patriots
10 Sep 2015Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots28–21New England Patriots
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