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Model picks & player props
NFL
New England
Sun 20 Sep 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Pittsburgh Steelers
VS
New England Patriots

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 64 markets for Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots and backs Pittsburgh Steelers hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $230.

20
Game markets graded
44
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers Moneyline Q1
You bet$10 If it wins$23.00Best price+130
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win47.8%
The price says41.8%

The model graded 64 markets for Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $230 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 20 Sep 2026, 1:00 PM ET at New England.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Q1 Pittsburgh Steelers Lean48% chance +130
Alternate Spreads H1 Members only Long-shot40% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot29% chance Members
Totals Q3 Members only Lean54% chance Members
Moneyline H1 Members only Lean42% chance Members
Alternate Spreads Q1 Members only High61% chance Members
Alternate Team Totals H1 Members only High61% chance Members
Spreads H1 Members only Lean51% chance Members
Moneyline 3 Way H1 Members only Long-shot38% chance Members
Receiving Yards (Alt) × 3 props Highup to 93% Members
Receiving Yards × 4 props Highup to 73% Members
Receptions (Alt) × 3 props Highup to 87% Members
Rushing Yards (Alt) × 1 prop Highup to 84% Members
Rushing Attempts (Alt) × 1 prop Long-shotup to 39% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →

Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots last met on Sun 20 Sep 2026: New England Patriots won 20-3. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline Q1
Pittsburgh Steelers
+130
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 44 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,095+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Pittsburgh SteelersMoneyline Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotals Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersMoneyline H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersAlternate Spreads Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersSpreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersMoneyline 3 Way H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersAlternate Spreads Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersMoneyline 3 Way Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh SteelersSpreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Yahya Black DEQuestionable
  • Jamel Dean CBOut
  • DeShon Elliott SOut
  • Jalen Ramsey CBQuestionable
  • Rico Dowdle RBQuestionable
  • Michael Pittman Jr. WROut
  • Derrick Harmon DTOut

New England Patriots

  • Charles Woods CBQuestionable
  • Karon Prunty CBOut
  • Channing Canada CBOut
  • Craig Woodson SQuestionable
  • Dre'Mont Jones DEQuestionable
  • Christian Elliss LBQuestionable
  • Christian Barmore DTQuestionable
  • Reggie Gilliam FBOut
  • Christian Gonzalez CBOut
  • Carlton Davis III CBOut
  • Rhamondre Stevenson RBQuestionable
  • Mack Hollins WROut
  • Morgan Moses OTQuestionable
  • A.J. Brown WROut
Availability updated Oct 10, 4:24PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 21 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability21 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Rhamondre Stevenson NE Receiving Yards (Alt)
Rhamondre Stevenson NE Receiving Yards
DeMario Douglas NE Receptions (Alt)
TreVeyon Henderson NE Rushing Yards (Alt)
TreVeyon Henderson NE Rushing Attempts (Alt)

+ 44 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylinePittsburgh Steelers to winNo line posted

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadPittsburgh Steelers spreadNo line posted

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsSteelers @ PatriotsNo line posted

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots — what the model found

Our model graded 64 betting markets for Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots — 20 on the game itself and 44 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
44
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 64 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 63 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots — recent results

New England Patriots have won 2 of their last 5 games; Pittsburgh Steelers have won 2 of their last 5.

New England Patriots — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W29–26BUFAway
L6–35JAXAway
W20–3PITHome
L10–13SEAAway
L13–37CLEAway
Pittsburgh Steelers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L24–27CLEAway
W30–27CINHome
L3–20NEAway
W20–13ATLHome
L27–28BUFAway

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: New England Patriots won 1, Pittsburgh Steelers won 0.

DateNew England PatriotsPittsburgh SteelersWinner
Sep 20203New England Patriots

Who’s out or in doubt

21 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New England Patriots
PlayerStatus
Charles Woods CBQUESTIONABLE
Karon Prunty CBOUT
Channing Canada CBOUT
Craig Woodson SQUESTIONABLE
Dre'Mont Jones DEQUESTIONABLE
Christian Elliss LBQUESTIONABLE
Christian Barmore DTQUESTIONABLE
Reggie Gilliam FBOUT
Pittsburgh Steelers
PlayerStatus
Yahya Black DEQUESTIONABLE
Jamel Dean CBOUT
DeShon Elliott SOUT
Jalen Ramsey CBQUESTIONABLE
Rico Dowdle RBQUESTIONABLE
Michael Pittman Jr. WROUT
Derrick Harmon DTOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Steelers vs Patriots, or as Patriots vs Steelers. The most recent game between them was Sunday 20 September 2026 at New England. The model has generated 20 game picks and 44 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots head-to-head record

Final scores · 10 meetings on record
New England Patriots 8–2 across the last 10 meetings · these games average 38.7 points (meetings on record since 2015)

Last meeting: Sun 20 Sep 2026, Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots: the Patriots won 20-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
20 Sep 2026Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots20–3New England Patriots
21 Sep 2025Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots14–21Pittsburgh Steelers
7 Dec 2023New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers18–21New England Patriots
18 Sep 2022New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers14–17New England Patriots
8 Sep 2019Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots33–3New England Patriots
16 Dec 2018New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers17–10Pittsburgh Steelers
17 Dec 2017New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers24–27New England Patriots
22 Jan 2017Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots36–17New England Patriots
23 Oct 2016New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers16–27New England Patriots
10 Sep 2015Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots28–21New England Patriots

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