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Model picks & player props
NFL
New England
Sun 11 Oct 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Las Vegas Raiders
VS
New England Patriots

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots and backs Las Vegas Raiders hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $276.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Las Vegas Raiders
to win
Las Vegas Raiders Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$27.60Best price+176
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win37.4%
The price says36.5%

The model graded 70 markets for Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $276 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 11 Oct 2026, 1:00 PM ET at New England.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Las Vegas Raiders Long-shot37% chance +176
Spread Members only Lean58% chance Members
Alternate Team Total Points Members only Long-shot18% chance Members
Team Total Members only Lean45% chance Members
Receiving Yards × 8 props Highup to 72% Members
Passing Yards (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 93% Members
Passing Yards × 2 props Highup to 73% Members
Rushing Yards (Alt) × 4 props Highup to 93% Members
Rushing Yards × 5 props Highup to 75% Members
Receptions × 6 props Highup to 76% Members
Receiving Yards (Alt) × 4 props Highup to 96% Members
Receptions (Alt) × 3 props Leanup to 59% Members
Interceptions Thrown × 1 prop Leanup to 54% Members
Anytime TD × 9 props Leanup to 57% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Las Vegas Raiders and New England Patriots last met on Sun 11 Oct 2026: New England Patriots won 45-17. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Las Vegas Raiders
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 71,793+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Las Vegas RaidersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas RaidersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New England PatriotsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Las Vegas Raiders

  • Patrick Johnson DEQuestionable
  • Aidan O'Connell QBOut
  • Cian Slone DEOut
  • Dalton Johnson SOut
  • Jonah Laulu DTOut
  • Tristin McCollum SOut
  • Thomas Booker IV DTOut
  • Bryce Cabeldue GOut
  • Carter Runyon TEOut
  • Dont'e Thornton Jr. WROut

New England Patriots

  • Alijah Vera-Tucker GOut
  • Behren Morton QBOut
  • Joshua Farmer DTOut
  • Channing Canada CBOut
  • Karon Prunty CBOut
  • Ben Brown COut
  • Carlton Davis III CBOut
  • Marcus Bryant OTOut
Availability updated Oct 26, 2:54AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 18 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability18 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Cody White LV Receiving Yards
Kirk Cousins LV Passing Yards (Alt)
Drake Maye NE Passing Yards
Ashton Jeanty LV Rushing Yards (Alt)
Kirk Cousins LV Rushing Yards

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineLas Vegas Raiders to winNo line posted

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadLas Vegas Raiders spreadNo line posted

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsRaiders @ PatriotsNo line posted

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots — recent results

New England Patriots have won 3 of their last 5 games; Las Vegas Raiders have won 1 of their last 5.

New England Patriots — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L24–30CHIAway
W26–19NYJHome
W45–17LVHome
W29–26BUFAway
L6–35JAXAway
Las Vegas Raiders — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L21–35LARHome
L30–33BUFHome
L17–45NEAway
L27–30KCHome
W35–27NOAway

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: New England Patriots won 1, Las Vegas Raiders won 0.

DateNew England PatriotsLas Vegas RaidersWinner
Oct 114517New England Patriots

Who’s out or in doubt

18 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New England Patriots
PlayerStatus
Alijah Vera-Tucker GOUT
Behren Morton QBOUT
Joshua Farmer DTOUT
Channing Canada CBOUT
Karon Prunty CBOUT
Ben Brown COUT
Carlton Davis III CBOUT
Marcus Bryant OTOUT
Las Vegas Raiders
PlayerStatus
Patrick Johnson DEQUESTIONABLE
Aidan O'Connell QBOUT
Cian Slone DEOUT
Dalton Johnson SOUT
Jonah Laulu DTOUT
Tristin McCollum SOUT
Thomas Booker IV DTOUT
Bryce Cabeldue GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots — model preview

New England Patriots v Las Vegas Raiders, 12 October 2026. Top of the list: Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Over 9.5 Player rush attempts alternate.

On Monday 12 October 2026, New England Patriots play Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Over 9.5 Player rush attempts alternate, priced at -189 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Over 9.5 Player rush attempts alternate (-189)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New England Patriots play Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Over 9.5 Player rush attempts alternate. It was priced at -189 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Raiders vs Patriots, or as Patriots vs Raiders. The most recent game between them was Sunday 11 October 2026 at New England. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots head-to-head record

Final scores · 6 meetings on record
Even at 3–3 across the last 6 meetings · these games average 47.3 points (meetings on record since 2017)

Last meeting: Sun 11 Oct 2026, Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots: the Patriots won 45-17.

DateGameScoreWinner
11 Oct 2026Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots45–17New England Patriots
7 Sep 2025Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots13–20Las Vegas Raiders
15 Oct 2023New England Patriots @ Las Vegas Raiders21–17Las Vegas Raiders
18 Dec 2022New England Patriots @ Las Vegas Raiders30–24Las Vegas Raiders
27 Sep 2020Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots36–20New England Patriots
19 Nov 2017New England Patriots @ Las Vegas Raiders8–33New England Patriots
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