On October 11, 2026 our model has run Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Las Vegas Raiders To Win (+176), which we rate long shot confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.
Every bet we like in this game
New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders: Las Vegas Raiders To Win (+176)
Odds correct at time of publishing
For the Las Vegas Raiders to win tonight, they need to outplay the New England Patriots. The Raiders have shown they can score, but they also need to tighten their defense because the Patriots are capable of moving the ball well. Last season, the Raiders gave up a lot of yards, both through the air and on the ground, which could be a serious concern.
The Raiders have a solid chance, especially since they've had some success on grass fields. New England has struggled defensively too, allowing plenty of yards per game. With both teams being pretty even in recent matchups, it's tough to say who will come out on top. The biggest risk is that the Patriots could exploit the Raiders' defensive weaknesses and take control of the game.
New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders: Kirk Cousins Over 224.5 Passing Yards (Alt) (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Kirk Cousins has a chance to shine in this game against the Las Vegas Raiders. The Patriots have given up a lot of passing yards, allowing over 206 yards through the air each game last season. This means Cousins could find plenty of opportunities to rack up those passing yards.
Both teams have had mixed results against the spread, making this matchup feel pretty even. However, the Raiders also struggle with their defense, giving up a bit more than the Patriots. The most concrete risk is how closely matched both teams are, so it could go either way. Still, with that many yards allowed, betting on Cousins to throw over 224.5 yards looks like a solid choice.
New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders: Drake Maye Under 221.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Drake Maye comes into this game with a solid but challenging matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders' defense. The Raiders allowed quite a few yards last season, but they've also shown they can tighten up against pass-heavy teams. The Patriots' offense has moved the chains well, but they don't typically rack up huge passing yard totals.
Maye might face some tough moments as the Raiders' defense tries to limit his yardage. The risk here is that both teams have similar records against the line on grass, so it could be a closer game than expected. Overall, there's a good chance for Maye to stay under 221.5 passing yards based on how both teams have performed recently.
New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders: Kirk Cousins Over 224.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Kirk Cousins has been solid with his passing game lately, and the Patriots' defense has given up a good amount of yardage. New England allowed over 200 passing yards per game in 2025. Considering Cousins' ability to throw well, he might find opportunities to rack up those yards against this defense.
The matchup is pretty close, with both teams showing similar stats overall. The Raiders have also struggled to stop the pass, allowing lots of yardage. While it's a bit of a gamble since the numbers are close, Cousins has a decent chance to go over 224.5 passing yards today. Just remember, the game could go in any direction!
That is everything our model likes in this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.