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Model picks & player props
NFL
New England
Sun 18 Oct 2026, 1:00 PM ET
New York Jets
VS
New England Patriots

New York Jets vs New England Patriots Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for New York Jets vs New England Patriots and backs New York Jets 7.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $187.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
New York Jets
with a 7.5-point head start
New York Jets 7.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$18.70Best price-115
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win69.5%
The price says53.5%

The model graded 70 markets for New York Jets vs New England Patriots (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $187 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 18 Oct 2026, 1:00 PM ET at New England.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread New York Jets 7.5 High70% chance -115
Alternate Team Total Points Members only Long-shot29% chance Members
Team Total Members only Lean42% chance Members
Receptions × 8 props Highup to 79% Members
Receiving Yards × 7 props Highup to 72% Members
Receiving Yards (Alt) × 6 props Highup to 88% Members
Passing Yards × 1 prop Highup to 73% Members
Rushing Yards (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 98% Members
Receptions (Alt) × 4 props Leanup to 59% Members
Rush + Rec Yards × 2 props Highup to 71% Members
Pass Completions × 1 prop Highup to 68% Members
Passing Touchdowns × 1 prop Leanup to 59% Members
Passing Yards (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 95% Members
Rushing Yards × 4 props Highup to 66% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

New York Jets and New England Patriots last met on Sun 18 Oct 2026: New England Patriots won 26-19. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
New York Jets
+7.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
New York JetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Jets

  • David Bailey LBDoubtful
  • T'Vondre Sweat DTOut
  • Joseph Ossai DEOut
  • Max Mitchell OTOut
  • Breece Hall RBQuestionable
  • Dylan Parham GQuestionable
  • Kiko Mauigoa LBOut

New England Patriots

  • Carlton Davis III CBQuestionable
  • Christian Elliss LBQuestionable
  • TreVeyon Henderson RBQuestionable
  • A.J. Brown WRQuestionable
  • Alijah Vera-Tucker GOut
Availability updated Oct 31, 12:23AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Jets vs New England Patriots: Outdoors with 8 mph wind, 53°F — stronger wind and cold both nudge totals and the kicking game down, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueopen-air outdoor
Surfaceartificial turf
Wind8 mph
Temperature53°F
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Garrett Wilson NYJ Receptions
Garrett Wilson NYJ Receiving Yards
Romeo Doubs NE Receiving Yards (Alt)
Geno Smith NYJ Passing Yards
Braelon Allen NYJ Receptions

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew England Patriots to winNo line posted

New England Patriots vs New York Jets moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadNew York Jets spreadNo line posted

New York Jets vs New England Patriots spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsJets @ PatriotsNo line posted

New England Patriots vs New York Jets game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

New York Jets @ New England Patriots — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for New York Jets at New England Patriots — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York Jets vs New England Patriots — recent results

New England Patriots have won 3 of their last 5 games; New York Jets have won 1 of their last 5.

New England Patriots — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L24–30CHIAway
W26–19NYJHome
W45–17LVHome
W29–26BUFAway
L6–35JAXAway
New York Jets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L25–28MIAHome
L19–26NEAway
W17–12CLEHome
L12–23CHIAway
L24–31DETAway

New York Jets vs New England Patriots — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: New England Patriots won 1, New York Jets won 0.

DateNew England PatriotsNew York JetsWinner
Oct 182619New England Patriots

Who’s out or in doubt

12 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New England Patriots
PlayerStatus
Carlton Davis III CBQUESTIONABLE
Christian Elliss LBQUESTIONABLE
TreVeyon Henderson RBQUESTIONABLE
A.J. Brown WRQUESTIONABLE
Alijah Vera-Tucker GOUT
New York Jets
PlayerStatus
David Bailey LBDOUBTFUL
T'Vondre Sweat DTOUT
Joseph Ossai DEOUT
Max Mitchell OTOUT
Breece Hall RBQUESTIONABLE
Dylan Parham GQUESTIONABLE
Kiko Mauigoa LBOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Jets @ New England Patriots — model preview

New England Patriots v New York Jets, 19 October 2026. Top of the list: Hunter Henry (NE) Over 3.5 Player receptions alternate. Here is why, in plain English.

On Monday 19 October 2026, New England Patriots play New York Jets in the NFL. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Hunter Henry (NE) Over 3.5 Player receptions alternate, priced at +188 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Hunter Henry (NE) Over 3.5 Player receptions alternate (+188)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New England Patriots play New York Jets in the NFL on Sunday 18 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Hunter Henry (NE) Over 3.5 Player receptions alternate. It was priced at +188 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $28.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Jets vs New England Patriots in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Jets vs Patriots, or as Patriots vs Jets. The most recent game between them was Sunday 18 October 2026 at New England. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

New York Jets vs New England Patriots: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 18 Oct 2026New England Patriots beat New York Jets 26-19 at home

New York Jets: last 5 results

  1. 25 Oct 2026Lostvs Miami Dolphins 25-28
  2. 18 Oct 2026Lostat New England Patriots 19-26
  3. 11 Oct 2026Wonvs Cleveland Browns 17-12
  4. 4 Oct 2026Lostat Chicago Bears 12-23
  5. 27 Sep 2026Lostat Detroit Lions 24-31

New England Patriots: last 5 results

  1. 22 Oct 2026Lostat Chicago Bears 24-30
  2. 18 Oct 2026Wonvs New York Jets 26-19
  3. 11 Oct 2026Wonvs Las Vegas Raiders 45-17
  4. 4 Oct 2026Wonat Buffalo Bills 29-26
  5. 27 Sep 2026Lostat Jacksonville Jaguars 6-35

Quick answers

Who won the last New England Patriots vs New York Jets game? New England Patriots won their last meeting 26-19 on 18 October 2026.

How have New York Jets and New England Patriots done lately? New York Jets won 1 and lost 4 of the last 5 results we hold. New England Patriots won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

New York Jets vs New England Patriots head-to-head record

Final scores · 23 meetings on record
New England Patriots 20–3 across the last 23 meetings · these games average 40.0 points (meetings on record since 2015)

Last meeting: Sun 18 Oct 2026, New York Jets at New England Patriots: the Patriots won 26-19.

DateGameScoreWinner
18 Oct 2026New York Jets @ New England Patriots26–19New England Patriots
28 Dec 2025New England Patriots @ New York Jets10–42New England Patriots
13 Nov 2025New York Jets @ New England Patriots27–14New England Patriots
27 Oct 2024New York Jets @ New England Patriots25–22New England Patriots
19 Sep 2024New England Patriots @ New York Jets24–3New York Jets
7 Jan 2024New York Jets @ New England Patriots3–17New York Jets
24 Sep 2023New England Patriots @ New York Jets10–15New England Patriots
20 Nov 2022New York Jets @ New England Patriots10–3New England Patriots
30 Oct 2022New England Patriots @ New York Jets17–22New England Patriots
24 Oct 2021New York Jets @ New England Patriots54–13New England Patriots

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 23 meetings on file.

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