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The latest Bet Better model pick for Patrick Voss is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 52%, implied 62%, edge +9.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 1:13AM UTC
AFL

Patrick Voss

Fremantle

+9.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -164 (1.61) · $100→$161
+9.5% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Carlton Blues
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 22 Aug, 3:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
11.5 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.6% · the book's price implies 62.1% · gap +9.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.6%52.2%62.1%1.91+9.5%

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AI Analysis

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Patrick Voss (Fremantle) Over 9.5 Disposals (-164)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking ahead to the clash between Carlton and Fremantle, one player stands out as a prime target for our disposals over bet – Patrick Voss. Despite the Dockers being on the road, Voss has been a consistent ball magnet, averaging 12.4 disposals in his last five away games. His recent form includes an impressive 69.4% disposal efficiency and an average of 9.6 kicks per game, showcasing his ability to find space and hit targets. With a solid hit rate in away games and facing an opponent against whom he has historically averaged 10 disposals, Voss looks primed to surpass the line of 9.5 disposals set by sportsbet. Backing Voss to continue his strong run of form and rack up the possessions seems like a smart play in this matchup at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 4(75%)

Season averages (2024)

Patrick Voss averaged 8.0 disposals, 1.0 goals and 3.4 marks per game across 7 games in 2024.

8.0
Disposals
1.0
Goals
3.4
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Patrick Voss recorded 7 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Port Adelaide7223
17 Aug 24GWS GIANTS6232
10 Aug 24Geelong Cats6021
13 Jul 24Hawthorn8150
18 May 24St Kilda12142
10 May 24Sydney Swans6031
27 Apr 24Western Bulldogs11151
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Carlton Blues Disposals 9.5 Over -164 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons Goals 1.5 Over -127 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
31 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Fremantle Dockers Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Patrick Voss (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Patrick Voss is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.5% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Carlton Blues on Saturday 22 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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