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The latest Bet Better model pick for Patrick Voss is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 60%, the price says 54%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 1:22PM UTC
AFL

Patrick Voss

Fremantle

Value call

Patrick Voss (Fremantle) has one live pick today: Disposals Over 9.5 that pays $185 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -118 (1.85) · $100→$185
Value call
Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Fri 18 Sep, 9:40AM
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Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
11.5 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 59.6% · before adjusting for past results 71.3% · the book's price implies 54.1% · gap +5.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.3%59.6%54.1%1.68+17.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers: Patrick Voss Over 9.5 Disposals (-118)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Patrick Voss has been impressive at the SCG, averaging almost 5 handballs per game over his last 10 matches. With his solid performance, he's likely to get plenty of chances to rack up disposals, especially since both teams are competitive and will be fighting for control throughout the game. While Fremantle has also been performing well, the matchup is tight, and Voss will need to be on his game. Still, given his recent stats and the way he plays, betting on him to have over 9.5 disposals looks promising.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Season averages (2024)

Patrick Voss averaged 8.0 disposals, 1.0 goals and 3.4 marks per game across 7 games in 2024.

8.0
Disposals
1.0
Goals
3.4
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Patrick Voss has cleared 9.5 disposals in 60% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.560%
o10.540%
o11.510%
o12.50%
o13.50%
o14.50%
o15.50%
o16.50%
o17.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Patrick Voss is averaging 9.2 disposals per game over his last 5, including his recent form against Brisbane Lions.

9.2
Disp · Overall
10.0
Disp · vs Brisbane Lions
1.4
Goals · Overall
2.0
Goals · vs Brisbane Lions

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Patrick Voss recorded 7 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Port Adelaide7223
17 Aug 24GWS GIANTS6232
10 Aug 24Geelong Cats6021
13 Jul 24Hawthorn8150
18 May 24St Kilda12142
10 May 24Sydney Swans6031
27 Apr 24Western Bulldogs11151
Quick answers:How many disposals does Patrick Voss average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals 9.5 Over -118 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 9.5 Over -120 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Marks 1.5 Over -526 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Goals — — — Pending
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Marks — — — Pending
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Patrick Voss (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Patrick Voss is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.2% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Sydney Swans on Friday 18 September at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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