Here are our AFL picks for Saturday 12 September 2026. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Izak Rankine (Adelaide Crows) Under 28.5 Disposals, priced at -125 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Izak Rankine (Adelaide Crows) Under 28.5 Disposals (-125)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Brisbane Lions play Adelaide Crows in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Izak Rankine (Adelaide Crows) Under 28.5 Disposals. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sam Berry (Adelaide Crows) Over 19.5 Disposals (-112)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Brisbane Lions play Adelaide Crows in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Sam Berry (Adelaide Crows) Over 19.5 Disposals. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Luke Nankervis (Adelaide Crows) Over 14.5 Disposals (-114)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Brisbane Lions play Adelaide Crows in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Luke Nankervis (Adelaide Crows) Over 14.5 Disposals. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's AFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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