Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Tuesday 03/10 (De'Aaron Fox Highlights): Best Value Bets

As the Utah Jazz gear up to host the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Kyle Filipowski, but the smart money is on his assists being limited. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 1.8 assists, and when playing at home, that number dips even further to 1.6. Against a Warriors defense that's notorious for clamping down on playmakers, Filipowski's average drops to a mere 1.3 assists in their last five encounters-he hasn't even logged an assist against them at home recently. With a remarkable 13 out of his last 14 games hitting the under on this prop, and a home hit rate of 6 out of 7, it's clear that the odds favor a low assist output. Given the expected stat value of just 2.19, taking the under on Filipowski's assists looks like a savvy play in this matchup.

Keyonte George (Utah Jazz) Under 8.5 Assists (-909)

Tonight, as the Utah Jazz face off against the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Keyonte George. While he's shown flashes of brilliance, the data suggests we should lean toward the under on his assists at 8.5. Over his last five games, he's averaging just 5.6 assists overall, and when the Jazz are at home, that number slightly ticks up to 5.8. Delving deeper into his matchup with the Warriors, George has only managed an average of 4 assists against them in their recent encounters, landing at 4.8 assists at home. With an impressive 10-for-10 hit rate in his last ten games, it's clear George knows how to distribute the ball, but expecting him to reach that lofty mark of 9 assists feels a bit too ambitious tonight. Given these trends, betting the under on his assists could be a savvy play in this matchup.

Keyonte George (Utah Jazz) Over 2.5 Rebounds (-161)

When the Utah Jazz take on the Golden State Warriors, keep a close eye on Keyonte George for the rebounds prop. At just 2.5, this line feels like a steal, especially considering George's recent surge. He's been dominant on the glass, averaging 3.2 rebounds over his last five games, and when playing at home, that number holds steady around 2.8. But here's the real kicker: he's hit the Over in 15 of his last 17 games, making this a reliable bet. Facing the Warriors, who often rely on their perimeter shooting, George could find himself in a prime position to snag those missed shots. With an expected stat value of 3.75, the odds are in our favor. Given his home court advantage and the trend of his recent performances, backing George for Over 2.5 rebounds feels like a smart play.

Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Yes Double-Double (-200)

As the San Antonio Spurs prepare to host the Boston Celtics, all eyes should be on Victor Wembanyama. This rising star is in phenomenal form, averaging 21.2 points and 12 rebounds over his last five games, with a standout home performance of 21 points and nearly 12.4 boards. His consistency is staggering-he's recorded a double-double in 12 of his last 13 outings, not to mention a perfect 6-for-6 at home. Facing the Celtics, Wembanyama has historically put up solid numbers, with an average of 21.7 points and 8.3 rebounds against them. The Spurs will rely heavily on his ability to dominate the paint, especially at home, where he thrives. With such strong indicators, betting on Wembanyama to notch a double-double seems not just prudent but nearly inevitable. Expect him to shine brightly on March 11th.