Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers Same Game Multi Tips & Prediction

Matthew Johnson is one of the most compelling disposal props on the board this round, and the numbers make it hard to look past him. The model projects 20.5 disposals — eight clear of the 12.5 line — with an 11.2% edge against implied odds of 80.0% at $1.25. What gives this real weight is Johnson's away form: he's averaging 19.4 disposals across his last five away games, including 9.6 kicks and 9.8 handballs, while generating 341.2 metres gained per game. Crucially, he's averaging 20.5 disposals in his last five away trips against Sydney specifically, matching the model's projection almost exactly. His overall hit rate of 15/15 over the line and a perfect 6/6 away streak underscore just how consistently he's clearing this mark. At 74.3% disposal efficiency away, he's not just accumulating — he's using it. The line of 12.5 looks genuinely soft.

Shai Bolton (Fremantle) Over 14.5 Disposals (-714)

Shai Bolton over 14.5 disposals at $1.14 looks straightforward on the surface, but the underlying numbers make it genuinely compelling. The model projects him for 21.6 touches — 7.1 above the line — with a 2.6% edge against implied odds of 87.7%. His L5 away average of 20.4 disposals already clears this line with room to spare, built on a solid blend of 10.8 kicks and 9.6 handballs per game away from home, with an impressive 80.4% disposal efficiency keeping his ball use clean and his coaches trusting him with the footy. The hit rate is what really anchors this. Bolton has cleared 14.5 disposals in all 13 of his last 13 away games and in 20 of his last 20 overall — a streak that's hard to ignore. His head-to-head average against Sydney sits at 22.2 overall. At short odds, the edge is modest but the consistency is exceptional.