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AFL

Matthew Johnson

Fremantle

+1.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -323 (1.31)
+1.1% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Sat 14 Mar, 5:15AM
Model Probability
77.4%
Implied Probability
76.3%
Model Edge
+1.1%
Predicted Value
19.3 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Matthew Johnson (Fremantle) Over 15.5 Disposals (-323)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to hit the Over on disposals, Matthew Johnson stands out for the upcoming clash against Geelong. In his last five away games, he's been a consistent ball magnet, averaging 17.2 disposals, with a high of 27 against this very opponent. Johnson's ability to find the footy in contested situations (6.6 per game) and maintain a solid disposal efficiency of 72.6% showcases his reliability in possession. Add in his recent form of 18.2 disposals on average overall, with a hit rate of 7 out of 8 games, and it's clear that Johnson is primed to surpass the 15.5 line. Expect him to be in the thick of the action, racking up the touches and driving Fremantle's midfield forward at GMHBA Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 30.0% (15/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 15.5 Over -323 ✗ MISS
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 14.5 Over -455 ✗ MISS
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 14.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending

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