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AFL

Matthew Johnson

Fremantle

+3.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -400 (1.25)
+3.0% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth
Sun 19 Apr, 7:10AM
Model Probability
83.0%
Implied Probability
80.0%
Model Edge
+3.0%
Predicted Value
19.3 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Matthew Johnson (Fremantle) Over 14.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, Matthew Johnson stands out for hitting the Over 14.5 disposals mark in the upcoming showdown between the Fremantle Dockers and the West Coast Eagles. Johnson's recent form, averaging 15.6 disposals in his last five away games, showcases his consistency in getting his hands on the footy. Facing the Eagles, against whom he has averaged 17 disposals in their last five encounters, only adds to his potential to surpass the 14.5 line. With his knack for contested possessions, efficient ball use, and ability to cover ground with 343.8 metres gained on average, Johnson is primed to be a key figure in the Dockers' midfield battle. Bet on Johnson to rack up the possessions and make an impact in this Western Derby clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (9 picks) 55.6% (5/9)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Mar 26 Melbourne Demons @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 15.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
21 Mar 26 Melbourne Demons @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 16.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
21 Mar 26 Melbourne Demons @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 12.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
21 Mar 26 Melbourne Demons @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
21 Mar 26 Melbourne Demons @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
14 Mar 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Matthew Johnson (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 9 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 55.6% (5/9). The latest model pick for Matthew Johnson is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.0% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 19 April at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.