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Model picks & player props
Leeds United
VS
Manchester City

Leeds United vs Manchester City Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 6, 1:09PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Outdoor
Sat 29 Nov 2025, 3:00PM
12
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Yes Both Teams to Score +104

The model graded 12 markets for Leeds United vs Manchester City (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $204 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 29 Nov 2025, 3:00PM at Etihad Stadium.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win54.6%
The price says49.0%
Best price+104
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Both Teams to Score Yes Lean55% chance +104
Head to Head (3-Way) High86% chance —
Moneyline High86% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →

Leeds United and Manchester City last met on Sat 29 Nov 2025. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Yes · $100 returned $202

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 48 of 101 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 5
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund @ TSG Hoffenheim
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $182
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Both Teams to Score
Yes
+104
+ 11 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Manchester CityHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Manchester CityMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Leeds United

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Manchester City

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Leeds United vs Manchester City: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineLeeds United @ Manchester CityNo line posted
86%Manchester City win %
4-1-1past meetings (last 6)
Draw24%Home form11-5-4Away form3-5-12
past meetings, home wins4 / 6 home

In their last 6 meetings, Manchester City have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1; the model reads Manchester City's win chance at 86% for this fixture. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreLeeds United @ Manchester CityNo line posted
70%both teams score %
4 / 6past meetings, both scored
Manchester45%Leeds Unit70%Free board13-12
past meetings, both scored4 / 6 both scored

Both teams scored in 45% of Manchester City's and 70% of Leeds United's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 70% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsLeeds United @ Manchester CityNo line posted
5 / 6past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.550%Away ov2.565%past meetings avg3.8
past meetings, over 2.55 / 6 over

The last 6 meetings averaged 3.8 goals, over 2.5 in 5 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Leeds United @ Manchester City — what the model found

Our model graded 12 betting markets for Leeds United at Manchester City — 12 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

12
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 12 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 11 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
3
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
29 Nov 25 Head to Head (3-Way) Manchester City ✓ HIT
29 Nov 25 Both Teams to Score Yes ✓ HIT
29 Nov 25 Moneyline Manchester City ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Leeds United vs Manchester City in the Soccer. You may also see this matchup written as United vs City, or as City vs United. The most recent game between them was Saturday 29 November 2025 at Etihad Stadium. The model has generated 12 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 8 meetings on record
Manchester City 6–1 across the last 8 meetings · 1 draw · these games average 3.6 goals (meetings on record since 2020)
DateGameScoreWinner
28 Feb 2026Manchester City @ Leeds United0–1Manchester City
29 Nov 2025Leeds United @ Manchester City3–2Manchester City
6 May 2023Leeds United @ Manchester City2–1Manchester City
28 Dec 2022Manchester City @ Leeds United1–3Manchester City
30 Apr 2022Manchester City @ Leeds United0–4Manchester City
14 Dec 2021Leeds United @ Manchester City7–0Manchester City
10 Apr 2021Leeds United @ Manchester City1–2Leeds United
3 Oct 2020Manchester City @ Leeds United1–1Draw
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