Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Chargers
VS
New England Patriots

Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:25AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NFL
New England
Mon 12 Jan 2026, 1:00AM
4
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: New England Patriots (Moneyline)
For Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots (NFL), model win probability 68.9%, fair odds 1.45, book price -196, model edge +2.6%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Mon 12 Jan 2026, 1:00AM at New England.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
New England Patriots
-196
+ 3 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

See the full board for this matchup — every market, every line, every edge — plus every pick across the slate.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
New England PatriotsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Unlock the full calibrated board

See the model's calibrated probability, fair odds and edge on every market in this matchup.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Ladd McConkey WRQuestionable
  • Joe Alt OTQuestionable
  • Rashawn Slater OTQuestionable

New England Patriots

  • Gabe Jacas LBQuestionable
  • Julian Hill TEOut
Availability updated Jul 20, 6:25PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots: Outdoors with 4 mph wind, 40°F — stronger wind and cold both nudge totals and the kicking game down, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueopen-air outdoor
Surfaceartificial turf
Wind4 mph
Temperature40°F
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew England Patriots to winNo line posted

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers moneyline — live line, model win probability and the full settled record, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadNew England Patriots spreadNo line posted

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers spread — live line, model win probability and the full settled record, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsChargers @ PatriotsNo line posted

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers game total — live line, model win probability and the full settled record, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
2
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
12 Jan 26 Moneyline New England Patriots ✓ HIT
12 Jan 26 Total Points Over 45.5 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots in the NFL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Monday 12 January 2026 at New England. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks