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Model picks & player props
NFL
New England
Sun 11 Jan 2026, 8:00 PM ET
Los Angeles Chargers
VS
New England Patriots

Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 2 markets for Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots and backs Over 45.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $191.

2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 45.5 total points
Over 45.5 Total Points
You bet$10 If it wins$19.09Best price-110
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win55.0%
The price says52.4%

The model graded 2 markets for Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 11 Jan 2026, 8:00 PM ET at New England.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Over 45.5 Lean55% chance -110
Moneyline Members only High69% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →

Los Angeles Chargers and New England Patriots last met on Sun 11 Jan 2026: New England Patriots won 16-3. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Over
45.5
-110
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New England PatriotsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Brenen Thompson WRQuestionable
  • Rodney Shelley CBDoubtful
  • KeAndre Lambert-Smith WROut
  • Derwin James Jr. SOut
  • Donte Jackson CBOut
  • Daiyan Henley LBQuestionable
  • Tre' Harris WROut
  • Joe Alt OTOut
  • Kayode Awosika GOut
  • Alec Ingold FBOut
  • Denzel Perryman LBOut
  • Dalvin Tomlinson DTQuestionable
  • Jamaree Caldwell DTQuestionable

New England Patriots

  • Will Campbell OTQuestionable
  • Karon Prunty CBOut
  • Carlton Davis III CBOut
  • TreVeyon Henderson RBQuestionable
  • A.J. Brown WROut
  • Marcus Bryant OTOut
  • Craig Woodson SQuestionable
  • Christian Elliss LBQuestionable
  • Channing Canada CBQuestionable
Availability updated Oct 17, 4:16AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots: Outdoors with 4 mph wind, 40°F — stronger wind and cold both nudge totals and the kicking game down, and 22 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueopen-air outdoor
Surfaceartificial turf
Wind4 mph
Temperature40°F
Availability22 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew England Patriots to winNo line posted

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadNew England Patriots spreadNo line posted

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsChargers @ PatriotsNo line posted

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots — recent results

New England Patriots have won 3 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Chargers have won 0 of their last 5.

New England Patriots — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W45–17LVHome
W29–26BUFAway
L6–35JAXAway
W20–3PITHome
L10–13SEAAway
Los Angeles Chargers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L17–23DENHome
L23–30SEAAway
L16–24BUFAway
L14–26LVHome
L14–26ARIHome

Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: New England Patriots won 1, Los Angeles Chargers won 0.

DateNew England PatriotsLos Angeles ChargersWinner
Jan 12163New England Patriots

Who’s out or in doubt

22 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New England Patriots
PlayerStatus
Will Campbell OTQUESTIONABLE
Karon Prunty CBOUT
Carlton Davis III CBOUT
TreVeyon Henderson RBQUESTIONABLE
A.J. Brown WROUT
Marcus Bryant OTOUT
Craig Woodson SQUESTIONABLE
Christian Elliss LBQUESTIONABLE
Los Angeles Chargers
PlayerStatus
Brenen Thompson WRQUESTIONABLE
Rodney Shelley CBDOUBTFUL
KeAndre Lambert-Smith WROUT
Derwin James Jr. SOUT
Donte Jackson CBOUT
Daiyan Henley LBQUESTIONABLE
Tre' Harris WROUT
Joe Alt OTOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Chargers vs Patriots, or as Patriots vs Chargers. The most recent game between them was Sunday 11 January 2026 at New England. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots head-to-head record

Final scores · 8 meetings on record
New England Patriots 6–2 across the last 8 meetings · these games average 36.3 points (meetings on record since 2017)

Last meeting: Mon 12 Jan 2026, Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots: the Patriots won 16-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
12 Jan 2026Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots16–3New England Patriots
11 Jan 2026Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots16–3New England Patriots
28 Dec 2024Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots7–40Los Angeles Chargers
3 Dec 2023Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots0–6Los Angeles Chargers
31 Oct 2021New England Patriots @ Los Angeles Chargers24–27New England Patriots
6 Dec 2020New England Patriots @ Los Angeles Chargers0–45New England Patriots
13 Jan 2019Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots41–28New England Patriots
29 Oct 2017Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots21–13New England Patriots

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