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Model picks & player props
Everton
VS
Aston Villa

Everton vs Aston Villa Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 6, 8:37PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Villa Park, Birmingham
Outdoor
Sun 18 Jan 2026, 4:30PM
2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
No Both Teams to Score -110

The model graded 2 markets for Everton vs Aston Villa (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 18 Jan 2026, 4:30PM at Villa Park.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win57.8%
The price says52.4%
Best price-110
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Both Teams to Score No Lean58% chance -110
Draw No Bet Long-shot28% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →

Everton and Aston Villa last met on Sun 18 Jan 2026. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
No · $100 returned $191

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 48 of 102 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 6
Arsenal
Chelsea @ Arsenal
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $126
Our call on this game: 3 picks on tonight's board · logged before tip-offSee tonight's picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Both Teams to Score
No
-110
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
EvertonDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Everton

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Aston Villa

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Everton vs Aston Villa: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineEverton @ Aston VillaNo line posted
7-1-0past meetings (last 8)
Draw27%Home form11-5-4Away form6-8-6
past meetings, home wins7 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Aston Villa have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 0. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreEverton @ Aston VillaNo line posted
60%both teams score %
2 / 8past meetings, both scored
Aston Vill60%Everton55%
past meetings, both scored2 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 60% of Aston Villa's and 55% of Everton's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 60% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsEverton @ Aston VillaNo line posted
4 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.565%Away ov2.535%past meetings avg2.4
past meetings, over 2.54 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 2.4 goals, over 2.5 in 4 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Everton @ Aston Villa — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for Everton at Aston Villa — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
2
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
18 Jan 26 Draw No Bet Everton ✓ HIT
18 Jan 26 Both Teams to Score No ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Everton vs Aston Villa in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Sunday 18 January 2026 at Villa Park. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 32 meetings on record
Aston Villa 13–7 across the last 32 meetings · 12 draws · these games average 2.9 goals (meetings on record since 2007)
DateGameScoreWinner
18 Jan 2026Everton @ Aston Villa0–1Everton
13 Sep 2025Aston Villa @ Everton0–0Draw
15 Jan 2025Aston Villa @ Everton0–1Aston Villa
14 Sep 2024Everton @ Aston Villa3–2Aston Villa
14 Jan 2024Aston Villa @ Everton0–0Draw
20 Aug 2023Everton @ Aston Villa4–0Aston Villa
25 Feb 2023Aston Villa @ Everton0–2Aston Villa
13 Aug 2022Everton @ Aston Villa2–1Aston Villa
22 Jan 2022Aston Villa @ Everton0–1Aston Villa
18 Sep 2021Everton @ Aston Villa3–0Aston Villa

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 32 meetings on file.

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