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Model picks & player props
Everton
VS
Aston Villa

Everton vs Aston Villa Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 28, 5:11AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

Soccer
Villa Park, Birmingham
Outdoor
Sun 18 Jan 2026, 4:30PM
2
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: No (Both Teams to Score)
For Everton vs Aston Villa (Soccer), model win probability 57.8%, fair odds 1.73, book price -110, model edge +5.5%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sun 18 Jan 2026, 4:30PM at Villa Park.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Both Teams to Score
No
-110
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
NoBoth Teams to ScorePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
EvertonDraw No BetPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Everton

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Aston Villa

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Everton vs Aston Villa: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineEverton @ Aston VillaNo line posted
7-1-0H2H (last 8)
Draw27%Home form11-5-4Away form6-8-6
H2H home wins7 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Aston Villa have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 0. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreEverton @ Aston VillaNo line posted
60%BTTS %
2 / 8H2H both scored
Aston Vill60%Everton55%
H2H both scored2 / 8 BTTS

Both teams scored in 60% of Aston Villa's and 55% of Everton's recent matches; the model prices BTTS Yes at 60% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsEverton @ Aston VillaNo line posted
4 / 8H2H over 2.5
Home ov2.565%Away ov2.535%H2H avg2.4
H2H over 2.54 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 2.4 goals, over 2.5 in 4 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
2
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
18 Jan 26 Both Teams to Score No ✓ HIT
18 Jan 26 Draw No Bet Everton ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Everton vs Aston Villa in the Soccer. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Sunday 18 January 2026 at Villa Park. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

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