New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction and Picks, August 28, 2026

This is better than the league average, which means they can score runs against pitchers like the Yankees' starter. Both teams are on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10 games, so it's pretty even overall. The Yankees have also been strong lately, winning by about 1.2 runs per game over their last 12. However, the close nature of this matchup makes it tough to call. With the Red Sox's solid hitting and good recent form, they seem like a good pick to come out on top at these odds.

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox: Over 7.5 Total Runs (-108)

At Yankee Stadium, both the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox have been hitting well lately. The Yankees have won 7 of their last 10 games and have a solid track record against left-handed pitchers. They are scoring about 1.2 runs more than usual over their last 12 games. Given that both teams are scoring a lot, we expect the total runs to go over 7.5. The combined scoring from both sides suggests we could see around 9 or more runs. The risk is that both teams are closely matched right now, so it could be a tight game.

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox: Boston Red Sox +1.5 (-152)

New York Yankees play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox: Boston Red Sox +1.5 (-152). That is a spreads bet. It was priced at -152 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.58 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox: Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (-164)

Cody Bellinger faces a tough matchup against the New York Yankees. The Yankees have been strong lately, winning seven of their last ten games, and they've been solid against left-handed pitchers, which could make it tricky for Bellinger to get hits. Even though Bellinger has had some decent games, he hasn't been consistent, with his singles and doubles fluctuating a lot. Betting on Bellinger to get under 1.5 total bases feels like a smart move here. The Boston Red Sox have also been playing well, winning seven of their last ten, but the Yankees are coming in hot. With how close the two teams are, this bet has a solid chance of winning, but Bellinger's recent performance makes it risky.

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox: Ceddanne Rafaela Under 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (-208)

Ceddanne Rafaela has been a bit up and down lately, with his total bases in the last ten games ranging from zero to a maximum of two. While he's had some good moments, his performance can be pretty inconsistent, making it tricky to rely on him for a big game. The Yankees have been strong at home, and they have a solid chance to keep him from getting on base often. Both teams are on a winning streak, but the Yankees have been slightly better in their recent games, scoring about 1.2 more runs than their opponents. Rafaela faces a tough matchup against the Yankees' pitching, so there's a good chance he stays under 1.5 total bases. Just remember, he could surprise us, but the odds are leaning toward a quieter game for him.

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox: Willson Contreras Over 0.5 Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs (-217)

At Yankee Stadium, the New York Yankees have been on a roll, winning seven out of their last ten games. Willson Contreras has been getting a decent amount of at-bats, and with both teams hitting well against left-handed pitchers, he's in a good spot to make some noise. The Yankees have been scoring an average of 1.2 runs more than their opponents lately, which could lead to more chances for Contreras to rack up hits, runs, and RBIs. The Boston Red Sox have also been doing well, winning seven of their last ten games. However, Contreras' recent performance has been a bit up and down, making him a little unpredictable. Still, with the way both teams are swinging the bat, there's a solid chance he can get at least one hit, score, or drive in a run.

That is the whole read on this one. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.