As we gear up for the matchup between the Kings and Pelicans, Yves Missi presents an intriguing opportunity for an under on his rebounding total. Currently, he's averaging just 4.4 rebounds over his last five games, and when we zoom in on his performance away from home, that figure slightly creeps up to 4.8. However, the real story lies in his history against the Pelicans; while he's pulled down an average of 6.2 rebounds against them overall, that number rises to only 7.5 in away games. With the Kings' recent lineup adjustments, Missi may find himself less involved on the boards. Plus, he hasn't surpassed that 9.5 mark recently, hitting the under in his last five outings. Given that he's hit the under 15 times in his last 15 away games, it's tough to see him breaking through that threshold tonight.
Nique Clifford (Sacramento Kings) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-127)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishingWhen targeting Nique Clifford for the under on 1.5 threes made, context is everything. While he's been a solid contributor for the Kings, especially at home with a 60% hit rate in his last 20 games, recent matchup dynamics suggest a different narrative. He's averaging just 1.6 threes in his last five outings, but what catches the eye is his historical performance against the Pelicans-he's only managed one three per game against them at home in that same span. Given that New Orleans has tightened up defensively, limiting perimeter shots, it's reasonable to expect Clifford to maintain that trend. With an implied probability of 55.9% on the under and the Kings' tendency to exploit the paint rather than the arc, this bet feels like a savvy play in this matchup. Keep an eye on how the game unfolds, but the signs point to Clifford staying below 1.5 threes made.
Derik Queen (New Orleans Pelicans) Under 9.5 Rebounds (-400)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingAs the Kings take on the Pelicans, all eyes will be on Derik Queen, but betting on him to grab more than 9.5 rebounds feels risky. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 6.6 boards, and even on the road, that number slightly ticks up to 6.8. Faced with the Pelicans, where he's snagged an average of 7 rebounds in their recent matchups, it's clear he's been consistent-but consistency doesn't guarantee hitting that 9.5 mark. In fact, Queen has only surpassed that threshold in one of his last 19 away games, boasting an impressive 18 out of 19 games hitting below that line. With the Kings' current lineup and match dynamics, it seems like a solid play to bet the under on Queen's rebounds in this matchup. Expect him to fall short again, keeping those expectations realistic as he navigates a tough Pelicans frontcourt.
Maxime Raynaud (Sacramento Kings) Under 8.5 Rebounds (-102)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingAs Maxime Raynaud prepares to hit the hardwood at home against the New Orleans Pelicans, there's a compelling case for targeting the under on his rebounding prop set at 8.5. While he has shown flashes of brilliance, averaging 8.2 boards at home recently, his performances against this Pelicans squad tell a different story. In their last five matchups, Raynaud has averaged just 5 rebounds at home against New Orleans, a stark contrast to his 12-rebound average against them overall. This suggests that the Pelicans have found a way to limit his impact on the glass when they meet.Moreover, Raynaud has hit the under on this line in four of his last five games, showcasing a trend that we can capitalize on. With the stakes high and the Kings likely leaning on their perimeter game, look for Raynaud to fall short of that 8.5 mark in a tightly contested showdown.