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Model picks & player props
Toronto Raptors
VS
New Orleans Pelicans

Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:20AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Indoor
Thu 12 Mar 2026, 12:00AM
20
Game Picks
10
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Toronto Raptors -1 (Point Spread)
For Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans (NBA), model win probability 66.4%, fair odds 1.51, book price -110, model edge +14.1%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Thu 12 Mar 2026, 12:00AM at Smoothie King Center.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Toronto Raptors
-1
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Toronto RaptorsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Raptors

  • Nate Bittle CDay-to-day
  • Alijah Martin GDay-to-day
  • Allen Graves FDay-to-day
  • Chucky Hepburn GDay-to-day
  • Collin Murray-Boyles FDay-to-day
  • Brandon Ingram FDay-to-day
  • Immanuel Quickley GDay-to-day

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Micah Peavy GDay-to-day
  • Karlo Matkovic FDay-to-day
  • Zion Williamson FDay-to-day
  • Dejounte Murray GDay-to-day
  • Trey Murphy III FDay-to-day
  • Yves Missi CDay-to-day
  • Bryce McGowens GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 11:38PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Dejounte Murray New Orleans Pelicans Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Zion Williamson New Orleans Pelicans Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Ja'Kobe Walter Toronto Raptors Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Brandon Ingram New Orleans Pelicans Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Brandon Ingram New Orleans Pelicans Pts + Rebs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsToronto Raptors @ New Orleans PelicansNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans and Toronto Raptors combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadNew Orleans Pelicans spreadNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans (season record) meet Toronto Raptors; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineNew Orleans Pelicans to winNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans (season record) host or visit Toronto Raptors; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)New Orleans Pelicans totalNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Toronto Raptors; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Toronto Raptors totalNo line posted

Toronto Raptors averaged their season scoring ahead of facing New Orleans Pelicans; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Toronto Raptors @ New Orleans Pelicans — model preview

<p>Latest NBA betting preview: New Orleans Pelicans vs Toronto Raptors. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Ja'Kobe Walter. Keywords: NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, New Orleans Pelicans vs Toronto Raptors stats and odds.</p>

Ja'Kobe Walter (Toronto Raptors) Over 6.5 Points (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When targeting Ja'Kobe Walter for the over on 6.5 points against the Raptors, the numbers tell a compelling story of a player poised to shine. Walter has been on a scoring tear lately, averaging 12.6 points over his last five games and hitting double digits consistently, even on the road where he's dropped an average of 11.2 points. His recent performances against Toronto have been particularly impressive, with an average of 14 points in their last five encounters, showcasing his ability to step up against this opponent. Remarkably, he's hit the over in all six of his last games, and when you consider his perfect track record away from home, it's hard not to feel confident. With an expected stat value of nearly 10 points and a hit rate of 100% in both home and away contests, targeting the over feels like a smart move for this matchup.

Dejounte Murray (New Orleans Pelicans) Over 6.5 Rebounds + Assists (-1250)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the New Orleans Pelicans gear up to face the Toronto Raptors, all eyes should be on Dejounte Murray and his potential to exceed 6.5 rebounds and assists combined. Murray has been on a tear, notching an impressive hit rate of 19 out of his last 20 games, including a staggering 15 of his last 16 at home. His averages against Toronto tell a compelling story, with 6.2 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game when facing them, and even more impressive numbers when playing at home. This matchup could see him capitalize on the Raptors' defensive lapses, especially with his expected stat value hovering around 11.96. Given his recent form and the Pelicans' home court advantage, it's hard to ignore the signs pointing to Murray comfortably surpassing the 6.5 mark in this pivotal game. Trust in his playmaking and rebounding instincts to shine through tonight.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans in the NBA. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Thursday 12 March 2026 at Smoothie King Center. The model has generated 20 game picks and 10 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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