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Model picks & player props
Memphis Grizzlies
VS
Minnesota Timberwolves

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 1:08PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
Target Center, Minneapolis
Indoor
Wed 4 Mar 2026, 1:00AM
17
Game Picks
9
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Memphis Grizzlies 7.5 (Point Spread)
For Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves (NBA), model win probability 79.4%, fair odds 1.26, book price -115, model edge +25.9%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Wed 4 Mar 2026, 1:00AM at Target Center.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Memphis Grizzlies
7.5
+ 16 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Memphis GrizzliesPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Memphis GrizzliesMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TimberwolvesPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TimberwolvesPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Walter Clayton Jr. GDay-to-day
  • Karim Lopez FDay-to-day
  • GG Jackson FDay-to-day
  • Richie Saunders GOut
  • Jaylen Wells FDay-to-day
  • Zach Edey CDay-to-day
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope GDay-to-day
  • Cam Spencer GDay-to-day
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. GDay-to-day
  • Ty Jerome GDay-to-day

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • Joan Beringer FDay-to-day
  • Donte DiVincenzo GOut
Availability updated Jul 20, 1:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Donte DiVincenzo Minnesota Timberwolves Pts + Rebs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Rudy Gobert Minnesota Timberwolves Pts + Rebs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Julius Randle Minnesota Timberwolves Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Santi Aldama Memphis Grizzlies Pts + Rebs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jaylen Wells Memphis Grizzlies Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsMemphis Grizzlies @ Minnesota TimberwolvesNo line posted

Minnesota Timberwolves and Memphis Grizzlies combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadMinnesota Timberwolves spreadNo line posted

Minnesota Timberwolves (season record) meet Memphis Grizzlies; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineMinnesota Timberwolves to winNo line posted

Minnesota Timberwolves (season record) host or visit Memphis Grizzlies; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Minnesota Timberwolves totalNo line posted

Minnesota Timberwolves averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Memphis Grizzlies; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Memphis Grizzlies totalNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Minnesota Timberwolves; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Memphis Grizzlies @ Minnesota Timberwolves — model preview

<p>Latest NBA betting preview: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Donte DiVincenzo. Keywords: NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies stats and odds.</p>

Donte DiVincenzo (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 18.5 Points + Rebounds (-122)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Timberwolves host the Grizzlies this Wednesday, the betting spotlight falls on Donte DiVincenzo. Now, why are we leaning towards 'Under 18.5' for his points + rebounds? The numbers tell a clear story: DiVincenzo's recent performance is a shade underwhelming, with averages of 10 points and 2.8 rebounds in his last five outings. Even when he's in the comforts of home court, he's only slightly better, managing 11.2 points and 2.4 boards on average. Against the Grizzlies specifically? He's scored 15.4 points and pulled down 5 rebounds in previous games, impressive, but still not enough to trouble our threshold. Sure, he's performed better at home against Memphis, but we're banking on the broader trends here. Add it all up and the 'Under 18.5' on DiVincenzo's points and rebounds seems like a smart play

Donte DiVincenzo (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 18.5 Points + Assists (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we gear up for Wednesday's clash between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Memphis Grizzlies, Donte DiVincenzo is a name that's catching my eye. Now, don't get me wrong-I'm not discounting DiVincenzo's talents. But when we look at his recent form, there's a compelling case for him to finish under 18.5 in the points + assists market. His average overall score over the last five games is just 13-ten points and three assists. Even at home, where players often step up their game, DiVincenzo's numbers only rise to 15.8. Interestingly, when faced with the Grizzlies, his averages do spike to 20.2. But let's not forget that he's successfully stayed under the 18.5 mark in 14 of his last 16 games overall, and in 8 of his last 10 at home. So, while the Grizzlies may

Santi Aldama (Memphis Grizzlies) Over 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Ah, Santi Aldama - the Spaniard sensation of the Memphis Grizzlies. His performance on the court is a sight to behold, and his stats back it up. You see, Aldama's been steadily racking up an impressive average of 13.2 points and 6.4 rebounds overall in his last 5 games. Even on the road, he's held his own, posting 9.6 points and 4.6 rebounds. And let's not forget his face-offs with the Timberwolves - he's averaged a respectable 9.2 points and 4.6 rebounds against them. Given his recent hot streak - hitting the mark in 2 of his last 3 games and 11 of his last 19 away games - I'm putting my money on Aldama to go over 16.5 points + rebounds in the upcoming game. So, if you're looking for a promising prop bet, I'd say Aldama's your guy.

Jaylen Wells (Memphis Grizzlies) Under 11.5 Points (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Alright, let's talk about Jaylen Wells. This guy's been a bit of a mixed bag when it comes to putting up points, especially on the road. Take a look at his last five games. Wells has been averaging only 7 points overall and his performance doesn't seem to pick up when he's playing away from home. Now, I know what you're thinking: He's put up an average of 13 points against the Timberwolves. True, but remember he's in their house this time around and that's where his numbers have been less than stellar. His under 11.5 points have hit three times in the last three games, and three times in the last four on the road. So, looking at the data, it feels like a smart move to target Wells for under 11.5 in this matchup. The numbers, it seems, are on our side.

Anthony Edwards (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 49.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-1250)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When you cast an eye over Anthony Edwards' recent numbers, it's clear why an Under 49.5 points, rebounds, and assists bet for the Timberwolves' upcoming clash with the Grizzlies is extremely enticing. Edwards' average tally across the three categories falls well short of that mark, sitting at 37.45. Even when he's at the top of his game at home, his combined average of 37 points, rebounds, and assists don't scratch the 49.5 threshold. Plus, when facing the Grizzlies, his numbers don't shoot up drastically; they hover around 30.2 at home. This bet's got the support of a sturdy 92.6% implied probability. So, while Edwards is undoubtedly a force on the court, it's a tall order to expect him to surpass his numbers by that much in this matchup. So, my advice? Dive in on the Under 49.5-it's a bet that's got the numbers on

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
7
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
04 Mar 26 Team Total Points Under 136.5 ✓ HIT
04 Mar 26 Team Total Points Over 101.5 ✓ HIT
04 Mar 26 Team Total Points Over 100.5 ✓ HIT
18 Dec 25 Team Total Points Over 111.5 ✗ MISS
18 Dec 25 Moneyline Memphis Grizzlies ✓ HIT
18 Dec 25 Point Spread Memphis Grizzlies 7.5 ✓ HIT
18 Dec 25 Point Spread Minnesota Timberwolves -8 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves in the NBA. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Wednesday 4 March 2026 at Target Center. The model has generated 17 game picks and 9 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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