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Model picks & player props
Memphis Grizzlies
VS
Minnesota Timberwolves

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 7:36PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NBA
Target Center, Minneapolis
Indoor
Wed 4 Mar 2026, 1:00AM
14
Game markets graded
9
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Memphis Grizzlies 7.5 Spread -115

The model graded 23 markets for Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $187 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 4 Mar 2026, 1:00AM at Target Center.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win79.4%
The price says53.5%
Best price-115
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Memphis Grizzlies 7.5 High79% chance -115
Moneyline Lean55% chance
Team Total High99% chance
Team Total High99% chance
Spread High66% chance
Spread High65% chance
Team Total High95% chance
Team Total High92% chance
Total Points High98% chance
Pts + Rebs × 4 props Highup to 97%
Pts + Asts × 2 props Highup to 98%
Points × 2 props Highup to 99%
Pts + Rebs + Asts × 1 prop Highup to 94%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Memphis Grizzlies 7.5 · $100 returned $187

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Memphis Grizzlies
+7.5
+ 13 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Memphis GrizzliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Memphis GrizzliesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TimberwolvesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TimberwolvesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Scotty Pippen Jr. GDay-to-day
  • Walter Clayton Jr. GDay-to-day
  • Karim Lopez FDay-to-day
  • Richie Saunders GOut
  • Jaylen Wells FDay-to-day
  • Zach Edey CDay-to-day

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • Donte DiVincenzo GOut
Availability updated Jul 27, 6:26PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Donte DiVincenzo Minnesota Timberwolves Pts + Rebs
Rudy Gobert Minnesota Timberwolves Pts + Rebs
Julius Randle Minnesota Timberwolves Pts + Asts
Santi Aldama Memphis Grizzlies Pts + Rebs
Jaylen Wells Memphis Grizzlies Points

+ 9 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsMemphis Grizzlies @ Minnesota TimberwolvesNo line posted

Minnesota Timberwolves and Memphis Grizzlies combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadMinnesota Timberwolves spreadNo line posted

Minnesota Timberwolves (season record) meet Memphis Grizzlies; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineMinnesota Timberwolves to winNo line posted

Minnesota Timberwolves (season record) host or visit Memphis Grizzlies; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Minnesota Timberwolves totalNo line posted

Minnesota Timberwolves averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Memphis Grizzlies; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Memphis Grizzlies totalNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Minnesota Timberwolves; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Memphis Grizzlies @ Minnesota Timberwolves — what the model found

Our model graded 23 betting markets for Memphis Grizzlies at Minnesota Timberwolves — 14 on the game itself and 9 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

14
Game markets graded
9
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 23 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 22 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves — recent results

Minnesota Timberwolves have won 1 of their last 5 games; Memphis Grizzlies have won 0 of their last 5.

Minnesota Timberwolves — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L109–139SAHome
L97–126SAAway
W114–109SAHome
L108–115SAHome
L95–133SAAway
Memphis Grizzlies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L101–132HOUAway
L101–147UTAHAway
L119–136DENAway
L126–142CLEHome
L115–131MILAway

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Minnesota Timberwolves won 2, Memphis Grizzlies won 1.

DateMinnesota TimberwolvesMemphis GrizzliesWinner
Mar 4117110Minnesota Timberwolves
Feb 3128137Memphis Grizzlies
Feb 1131114Minnesota Timberwolves

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerStatus
Donte DiVincenzo GOUT
Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerStatus
Scotty Pippen Jr. GDAY-TO-DAY
Walter Clayton Jr. GDAY-TO-DAY
Karim Lopez FDAY-TO-DAY
Richie Saunders GOUT
Jaylen Wells FDAY-TO-DAY
Zach Edey CDAY-TO-DAY

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Memphis Grizzlies @ Minnesota Timberwolves — model preview

Latest NBA betting preview: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Donte DiVincenzo. Keywords: NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies stats and odds.

Donte DiVincenzo (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 18.5 Points + Rebounds (-122)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Timberwolves host the Grizzlies this Wednesday, the betting spotlight falls on Donte DiVincenzo. Now, why are we leaning towards 'Under 18.5' for his points + rebounds? The numbers tell a clear story: DiVincenzo's recent performance is a shade underwhelming, with averages of 10 points and 2.8 rebounds in his last five outings. Even when he's in the comforts of home court, he's only slightly better, managing 11.2 points and 2.4 boards on average. Against the Grizzlies specifically? He's scored 15.4 points and pulled down 5 rebounds in previous games, impressive, but still not enough to trouble our threshold. Sure, he's performed better at home against Memphis, but we're banking on the broader trends here. Add it all up and the 'Under 18.5' on DiVincenzo's points and rebounds seems like a smart play

🔒 The other 4 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
7
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
04 Mar 26 Team Total Over 101.5 ✓ HIT
04 Mar 26 Team Total Over 100.5 ✓ HIT
04 Mar 26 Team Total Under 136.5 ✓ HIT
18 Dec 25 Moneyline Memphis Grizzlies ✓ HIT
18 Dec 25 Team Total Over 111.5 ✗ MISS
18 Dec 25 Spread Memphis Grizzlies +7.5 ✓ HIT
18 Dec 25 Spread Minnesota Timberwolves -8 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Grizzlies vs Timberwolves, or as Timberwolves vs Grizzlies. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 4 March 2026 at Target Center. The model has generated 14 game picks and 9 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Minnesota Timberwolves 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
4 Mar 2026Memphis Grizzlies @ Minnesota Timberwolves117–110Minnesota Timberwolves
3 Feb 2026Minnesota Timberwolves @ Memphis Grizzlies137–128Memphis Grizzlies
1 Feb 2026Minnesota Timberwolves @ Memphis Grizzlies114–131Minnesota Timberwolves
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