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The latest Bet Better model pick for Devin Carter is Under 5.5 on Assists.
On the Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 91%, versus the book's implied 61%, for a model edge of +30.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 24, 12:59PM UTC
NBA

Devin Carter

Sacramento Kings

+30.0% Edge
🔥 68 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Assists Under 5.5 -154 (1.65)
+30.0% Edge
Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors
Chase Center, San Francisco, CA · Indoor
Wed 8 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
90.6%
Implied Probability
60.6%
Model Edge
+30.0%
Predicted Value
3.2 Assists

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Assists90.6%—60.6%1.10+30.0%

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AI Analysis

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Devin Carter (Sacramento Kings) Under 5.5 Assists (-154)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Looking at Devin Carter's recent performance and his matchup against the Warriors, there's a compelling case for taking the under on his assists at 5.5. First, he's averaging just 3.4 assists over his last five games, and when you narrow it down to away games, that number dips to 3.2. Against the Warriors specifically, Carter has struggled, averaging only 0.6 assists in their last few encounters, with his away average sitting at just 1.3. Adding to this, he's maintained a flawless record with the under, hitting it in all 20 of his last games, both overall and away. With the Warriors' defense tightening up and Carter's assist numbers hovering well below the threshold, it seems smart to bet that he'll fall short of 5.5 assists once again. In this matchup, it's hard to envision him breaking out of this trend.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Devin Carter has active Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

PointsSeason marketNo line posted

Devin Carter has active Points prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Points + AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Devin Carter has active Points + Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Points + ReboundsSeason marketNo line posted

Devin Carter has active Points + Rebounds prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Pts + Reb + AstSeason marketNo line posted

Devin Carter has active Pts + Reb + Ast prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

ReboundsSeason marketNo line posted

Devin Carter has active Rebounds prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Rebounds + AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Devin Carter has active Rebounds + Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Apr 26 Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors Assists 5.5 Under -154 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors Points 17.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors Points 16.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors Rebounds — — — Pending
04 Apr 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Sacramento Kings Points — — — Pending
04 Apr 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Sacramento Kings Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Devin Carter (Sacramento Kings) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Devin Carter is currently on a 68-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Devin Carter is Under 5.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +30.0% on this pick. Their next game is Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors on Wednesday 8 April at Chase Center, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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