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Model picks & player props
Sacramento Kings
VS
Indiana Pacers

Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 7:37PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NBA
5
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Sacramento Kings 4.5 Spread -118

The model graded 5 markets for Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $185 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win70.7%
The price says54.1%
Best price-118
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Sacramento Kings 4.5 High71% chance -118
Moneyline Lean54% chance
Team Total High92% chance
Spread Lean55% chance
Total Points High98% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Sacramento Kings
+4.5
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Sacramento KingsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sacramento KingsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indiana PacersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Sacramento Kings

  • Keegan Murray FDay-to-day
  • Zach LaVine GDay-to-day
  • De'Andre Hunter FDay-to-day
  • Domantas Sabonis FDay-to-day

Indiana Pacers

  • Tyrese Haliburton GDay-to-day
  • Johnny Furphy GOut
Availability updated Jul 31, 3:26PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 6 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability6 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsSacramento Kings @ Indiana PacersNo line posted

Indiana Pacers and Sacramento Kings combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadIndiana Pacers spreadNo line posted

Indiana Pacers (season record) meet Sacramento Kings; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineIndiana Pacers to winNo line posted

Indiana Pacers (season record) host or visit Sacramento Kings; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Indiana Pacers totalNo line posted

Indiana Pacers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Sacramento Kings; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Sacramento Kings totalNo line posted

Sacramento Kings averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Indiana Pacers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Sacramento Kings @ Indiana Pacers — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Sacramento Kings at Indiana Pacers — 5 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

5
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers — recent results

Indiana Pacers have won 1 of their last 5 games; Sacramento Kings have won 2 of their last 5.

Indiana Pacers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L121–133DETHome
L94–105PHIHome
W123–94BKNAway
L104–124MINHome
L108–117CLEAway
Sacramento Kings — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L110–122PORAway
W124–118GSHome
L105–110GSAway
L109–138LACHome
W117–113NOHome

Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Indiana Pacers won 0, Sacramento Kings won 1.

DateIndiana PacersSacramento KingsWinner
Mar 11109114Sacramento Kings

Who’s out or in doubt

6 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Indiana Pacers
PlayerStatus
Tyrese Haliburton GDAY-TO-DAY
Johnny Furphy GOUT
Sacramento Kings
PlayerStatus
Keegan Murray FDAY-TO-DAY
Zach LaVine GDAY-TO-DAY
De'Andre Hunter FDAY-TO-DAY
Domantas Sabonis FDAY-TO-DAY

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Sacramento Kings @ Indiana Pacers — model preview

Deep dive into Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.

Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings : Over 208.5 Total Points (-3333)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Over 208.5' Total Points for the Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings game is supported by both teams' recent scoring data. The Pacers have been averaging 122.2 points in the last five games, while the Kings have averaged 113.2 points, comfortably exceeding the 208.5 total. Furthermore, the Pacers' home scoring average (121) and the Kings' away scoring average (118.6) also surpass the targeted total. Moreover, the defensive records of both teams suggest a high-scoring game. The Pacers have been conceding an average of 130.6 points at home, while the Kings have allowed 105.8 points on the road. This trend of high-scoring games, coupled with the fact that our model predicts a total of 249.61 points, gives strong credence to the bet on 'Over 208.5' Total Points.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Kings vs Pacers, or as Pacers vs Kings. The model has generated 5 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Sacramento Kings 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
11 Mar 2026Indiana Pacers @ Sacramento Kings114–109Sacramento Kings
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