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Model picks & player props
Sacramento Kings
VS
Indiana Pacers

Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:20AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
5
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Sacramento Kings 4.5 (Point Spread)
For Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers (NBA), model win probability 70.7%, fair odds 1.42, book price -118, model edge +16.6%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Sacramento Kings
4.5
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Sacramento KingsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sacramento KingsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indiana PacersPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Sacramento Kings

  • Nique Clifford GDay-to-day
  • Maxime Raynaud CDay-to-day
  • Dylan Cardwell CDay-to-day
  • Darius Acuff Jr. GDay-to-day
  • Zach LaVine GDay-to-day
  • Malik Monk GDay-to-day
  • De'Andre Hunter FDay-to-day
  • Domantas Sabonis FDay-to-day
  • Keegan Murray FDay-to-day

Indiana Pacers

  • Tyrese Haliburton GDay-to-day
  • Jarace Walker FDay-to-day
  • Pascal Siakam FDay-to-day
  • Ben Sheppard GDay-to-day
  • Aaron Nesmith GDay-to-day
  • T.J. McConnell GDay-to-day
  • Johnny Furphy GOut
Availability updated Jul 17, 5:20PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsSacramento Kings @ Indiana PacersNo line posted

Indiana Pacers and Sacramento Kings combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadIndiana Pacers spreadNo line posted

Indiana Pacers (season record) meet Sacramento Kings; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineIndiana Pacers to winNo line posted

Indiana Pacers (season record) host or visit Sacramento Kings; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Indiana Pacers totalNo line posted

Indiana Pacers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Sacramento Kings; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Sacramento Kings totalNo line posted

Sacramento Kings averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Indiana Pacers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Sacramento Kings @ Indiana Pacers — model preview

<p>Deep dive into Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings : Over 208.5 Total Points (-3333)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Over 208.5' Total Points for the Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings game is supported by both teams' recent scoring data. The Pacers have been averaging 122.2 points in the last five games, while the Kings have averaged 113.2 points, comfortably exceeding the 208.5 total. Furthermore, the Pacers' home scoring average (121) and the Kings' away scoring average (118.6) also surpass the targeted total. Moreover, the defensive records of both teams suggest a high-scoring game. The Pacers have been conceding an average of 130.6 points at home, while the Kings have allowed 105.8 points on the road. This trend of high-scoring games, coupled with the fact that our model predicts a total of 249.61 points, gives strong credence to the bet on 'Over 208.5' Total Points.

Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings : Indiana Pacers Over 108.5 Team Total Points (-588)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The statistical data supports the bet on 'Indiana Pacers Over 108.5' for several reasons. Firstly, the Pacers have been prolific scorers in their last five games, averaging 122.2 points overall and 121 points in their home games. This performance is significantly higher than the bet's threshold of 108.5 points. Secondly, the model prediction for the Pacers' total points in this game is 124.67, again well above the betting outcome point. The Kings' defensive record also comes into play, as they have allowed an average of 130.6 points in their recent away games, indicating a potential weakness the Pacers can exploit. Therefore, the statistical trends and the high-scoring nature of the Pacers suggest a strong likelihood that they will surpass the 108.5 point mark in this game.

Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings : Indiana Pacers -4 (-110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Indiana Pacers -4' is a promising choice in the Point Spread market of this NBA game. Statistically, the Pacers have been outperforming the Kings in recent matches. Their overall score for the last five games is 122.2, significantly higher than the Kings' 113.2. Additionally, the Pacers have a better home record compared to the Kings' away record (2-3 vs 1-4). Despite the Pacers' recent struggle at home (1-4), they still managed to maintain a higher score (121) than the Kings' away score (118.6). Furthermore, their head-to-head record is evenly matched at 1-1, indicating that the Pacers have demonstrated the ability to defeat the Kings. This combination of superior scoring and recent performance makes the bet on the Pacers covering a 4 point spread a solid choice.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers in the NBA. The model has generated 5 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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