Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Saddiq Bey is Under 26.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 52%, for a model edge of +20.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:05PM UTC
NBA

Saddiq Bey

New Orleans Pelicans

+20.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 26.5 -108 (1.93)
+20.6% Edge
Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA · Indoor
Wed 8 Apr, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
72.4%
Implied Probability
51.8%
Model Edge
+20.6%
Predicted Value
22.4 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs72.4%51.8%1.38+20.6%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Saddiq Bey (New Orleans Pelicans) Under 26.5 Points + Rebounds (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Pelicans gear up to face the Jazz, targeting Saddiq Bey for under 26.5 points and rebounds feels like a savvy play. While Bey has been solid, averaging around 20.8 points and 4.6 rebounds in his last five outings, the matchup against Utah tends to stifle his production. He's averaged just 20.4 points against them, and at home, that number dips to 16. It's also worth noting that he's hit the under in 8 of his last 9 games, with a particularly strong home hit rate of 3 out of 4. With his expected stat value sitting at 22.39, the numbers suggest that a dip below 26.5 is not only plausible but likely, especially against a Jazz team that can be tough defensively. This could be one of those nights where Bey's contributions are significant, but not enough to push him over that threshold.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2023-24 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
1.4avg · last 10
L51.6Szn1.5Home1.5Away1.5Best8
1+75%
3+16%
5+2%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.4 · hi 3 · lo 0
1110322022

Saddiq Bey is averaging 1.4 assists over his last 10 games (2023-24 avg 1.5, best 8). He clears 1+ in 75% of 2023-24 games.

Points2023-24 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
14.6avg · last 10
L516.0Szn13.7Home14.2Away13.2Best51
4+94%
9+84%
14+56%
19+13%
24+5%
Game log vs O 13.5avg 14.6 · hi 23 · lo 3
141812166231723314

Saddiq Bey is averaging 14.6 points over his last 10 games (2023-24 avg 13.7, best 51). He clears 14+ in 56% of 2023-24 games.

Points + Assists2023-24 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
16.0avg · last 10
L517.6Szn15.2Home15.7Away14.6Best55
5+95%
10+83%
15+56%
20+17%
25+6%
Game log vs O 14.5avg 16 · hi 25 · lo 5
151913169251923516

Saddiq Bey is averaging 16.0 points + assists over his last 10 games (2023-24 avg 15.2, best 55). He clears 15+ in 56% of 2023-24 games.

Points + Rebounds2023-24 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
20.7avg · last 10
L522.8Szn20.2Home20.3Away20.2Best60
10+94%
15+83%
20+60%
25+24%
30+6%
Game log vs O 19.5avg 20.7 · hi 31 · lo 11
18271423112626311219

Saddiq Bey is averaging 20.7 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2023-24 avg 20.2, best 60). He clears 20+ in 60% of 2023-24 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2023-24 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
22.1avg · last 10
L524.4Szn21.7Home21.8Away21.6Best64
12+90%
17+78%
22+56%
27+22%
32+5%
Game log vs O 21.5avg 22.1 · hi 31 · lo 14
19281523142828311421

Saddiq Bey is averaging 22.1 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2023-24 avg 21.7, best 64). He clears 22+ in 56% of 2023-24 games.

Rebounds2023-24 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
6.1avg · last 10
L56.8Szn6.5Home6.1Away7.0Best17
3+92%
5+73%
7+56%
9+25%
11+5%
Game log vs O 6.5avg 6.1 · hi 9 · lo 2
4927539895

Saddiq Bey is averaging 6.1 rebounds over his last 10 games (2023-24 avg 6.5, best 17). He clears 7+ in 56% of 2023-24 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans Pts + Rebs 27.5 Under -112 ✗ MISS
04 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Asts 19.5 Under -127 ✗ MISS

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Saddiq Bey (New Orleans Pelicans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Saddiq Bey is Under 26.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.6% on this pick. Their next game is Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday 8 April at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks