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Model picks & player props
Houston Rockets
VS
New Orleans Pelicans

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 6:48PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NBA
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Indoor
Fri 19 Dec 2025, 1:00AM
3
Game markets graded
3
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
New Orleans Pelicans Moneyline +350

The model graded 6 markets for Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $450 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 19 Dec 2025, 1:00AM at Smoothie King Center.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win39.3%
The price says22.2%
Best price+350
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline New Orleans Pelicans Long-shot39% chance +350
Team Total High93% chance
Team Total High86% chance
Pts + Rebs + Asts × 1 prop Highup to 60%
Double-Double × 1 prop Highup to 60%
Triple-Double × 1 prop Long-shotup to 16%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
New Orleans Pelicans · $100 returned $450

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
New Orleans Pelicans
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
New Orleans PelicansMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Houston Rockets

  • Kevin Durant FDay-to-day
  • Fred VanVleet GDay-to-day
  • Steven Adams CDay-to-day

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Micah Peavy GDay-to-day
  • Bryce McGowens GDay-to-day
Availability updated Aug 5, 3:22PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Alperen Sengun Houston Rockets Pts + Rebs + Asts
Alperen Sengun Houston Rockets Double-Double
Alperen Sengun Houston Rockets Triple-Double

+ 3 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsHouston Rockets @ New Orleans PelicansNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans and Houston Rockets combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadNew Orleans Pelicans spreadNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans (season record) meet Houston Rockets; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineNew Orleans Pelicans to winNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans (season record) host or visit Houston Rockets; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)New Orleans Pelicans totalNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Houston Rockets; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Houston Rockets totalNo line posted

Houston Rockets averaged their season scoring ahead of facing New Orleans Pelicans; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Houston Rockets @ New Orleans Pelicans — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for Houston Rockets at New Orleans Pelicans — 3 on the game itself and 3 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

3
Game markets graded
3
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 5 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans — recent results

New Orleans Pelicans have won 1 of their last 5 games; Houston Rockets have won 2 of their last 5.

New Orleans Pelicans — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L126–132MINAway
L118–144BOSAway
W156–137UTAHHome
L108–112ORLHome
L113–117SACAway
Houston Rockets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L78–98LALHome
W99–93LALAway
W115–96LALHome
L108–112LALHome
L94–101LALAway

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: New Orleans Pelicans won 0, Houston Rockets won 3.

DateNew Orleans PelicansHouston RocketsWinner
Mar 29102134Houston Rockets
Mar 14105107Houston Rockets
Jan 19110119Houston Rockets

Who’s out or in doubt

5 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerStatus
Micah Peavy GDAY-TO-DAY
Bryce McGowens GDAY-TO-DAY
Houston Rockets
PlayerStatus
Kevin Durant FDAY-TO-DAY
Fred VanVleet GDAY-TO-DAY
Steven Adams CDAY-TO-DAY

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Houston Rockets @ New Orleans Pelicans — model preview

Expert analysis and top betting picks for New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets. Includes analysis on key players like Alperen Sengun. Discover NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets stats and odds.

Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) Under 38.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-128)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The rationale for betting on Alperen Sengun to finish under 38.5 points, rebounds, and assists against the New Orleans Pelicans is grounded in his recent performance data. His last five overall averages are 20.6 points, 11.6 rebounds, and 5.8 assists. This total of 38 is lower than the proposed outcome point of 38.5. Additionally, when looking at Sengun's last five away games, his combined average is 39.8, which is closer but still under the proposed outcome point. Moreover, Sengun's average performance against the Pelicans, specifically when playing away, is 34.4 - significantly lower than the betting line. Finally, the overall hit rate in his last 18 games and the away hit rate in his last 8 games (12/18 and 5/8 respectively) also suggests that it's more likely for him to finish under 38.5 in the combined stats

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
3
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
19 Dec 25 Team Total Over 101.5 ✓ HIT
19 Dec 25 Team Total Under 133.5 ✓ HIT
19 Dec 25 Moneyline New Orleans Pelicans ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Rockets vs Pelicans, or as Pelicans vs Rockets. The most recent game between them was Friday 19 December 2025 at Smoothie King Center. The model has generated 3 game picks and 3 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Houston Rockets 3–0 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
29 Mar 2026Houston Rockets @ New Orleans Pelicans102–134Houston Rockets
14 Mar 2026New Orleans Pelicans @ Houston Rockets107–105Houston Rockets
19 Jan 2026New Orleans Pelicans @ Houston Rockets119–110Houston Rockets
Today's selected board

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