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Model picks & player props
New Orleans Pelicans
VS
San Antonio Spurs

New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:21AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
3
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: New Orleans Pelicans (Moneyline)
For New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs (NBA), model win probability 33.3%, fair odds 3.00, book price +400, model edge +13.3%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
New Orleans Pelicans
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
New Orleans PelicansMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New Orleans PelicansPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Micah Peavy GDay-to-day
  • Karlo Matkovic FDay-to-day
  • Zion Williamson FDay-to-day
  • Dejounte Murray GDay-to-day
  • Trey Murphy III FDay-to-day
  • Yves Missi CDay-to-day
  • Bryce McGowens GDay-to-day

San Antonio Spurs

  • Jayden Quaintance FOut
  • Tarris Reed Jr. CDay-to-day
  • David Jones Garcia FDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 12:33PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 10 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability10 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsNew Orleans Pelicans @ San Antonio SpursNo line posted

San Antonio Spurs and New Orleans Pelicans combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadSan Antonio Spurs spreadNo line posted

San Antonio Spurs (season record) meet New Orleans Pelicans; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineSan Antonio Spurs to winNo line posted

San Antonio Spurs (season record) host or visit New Orleans Pelicans; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)San Antonio Spurs totalNo line posted

San Antonio Spurs averaged their season scoring ahead of facing New Orleans Pelicans; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)New Orleans Pelicans totalNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans averaged their season scoring ahead of facing San Antonio Spurs; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

New Orleans Pelicans @ San Antonio Spurs — model preview

<p>Expert analysis and top betting picks for San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans : New Orleans Pelicans Over 103.5 Team Total Points (-556)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'New Orleans Pelicans Over 103.5' is statistically supported by the performance data of the Pelicans. Their scoring record in the last five games, both overall and away, is well over the set Outcome Point of 103.5. The model prediction of 116.47 also aligns with their recent scoring trends. This shows a consistent ability of the New Orleans Pelicans to score high, with an average score of 116.8 overall and 115.8 in away games specifically. Furthermore, the Pelicans' Away Record against the Home Away Record (3-2) indicates favorable outcomes for them in recent away matches. The implied probability of 84.7% provides further confidence in the bet, suggesting a high likelihood of the bet's success. This data collectively justifies the bet on the Pelicans scoring over 103.5 points.

San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans : New Orleans Pelicans 11.5 (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The New Orleans Pelicans have a strong record against the San Antonio Spurs, winning all of their last five matchups. Additionally, the Spurs have shown defensive weakness at home, allowing an average of 130 points in their last 5 games. This is significantly higher than the Pelicans' average of 104.2 points conceded in their away games. The Pelicans also have a decent away record, winning 3 out of their last 5 games. This, coupled with them consistently scoring above their given point spread of 11.5 in recent games, makes the bet on the Pelicans a promising one. Even though the Spurs have a higher overall L5 team score, their weak defense can allow the Pelicans to cover the spread.

San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans : New Orleans Pelicans win (+400)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on the New Orleans Pelicans is primarily driven by their impressive head-to-head record against the San Antonio Spurs. In their last five encounters, the Pelicans have consistently outperformed the Spurs, boasting a 4-0 record. This suggests a tactical advantage or a favourable matchup for the Pelicans. Additionally, the Pelicans have shown strong away form with a 3-2 record in their last five matches, outperforming the Spurs' 2-3 home record in the same period. Despite the fact that the Spurs have scored more points recently, the Pelicans' demonstrated ability to win against this specific opponent makes them a solid bet for this game.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs in the NBA. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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